The “Expansion Era Committee” of the Hall of Fame will consider twelve candidates for induction this year. Those candidates who appear on 75% of the ballots of the sixteen committee members will be inducted into the Hall in July, 2014.  The results of the committee’s voting will be announced on December 9.

Four of the twelve candidates being considered were long-time managers: Bobby Cox, Joe Torre, Tony La Russa and Billy Martin.   Evaluating managerial performance is not easy — it is very difficult to separate the contributions a baseball manager makes to winning from those of his players.  But what we can do is evaluate what kinds of records have led previous managers to be inducted into the Hall.  I’ve found that the following formula is very good as a description of which managers have made it into the Hall:

–First, take the number of games over .500  a manager’s teams have been during the regular season overall for his career.
–Then add to that a number equal to 100 times the number of AL and NL pennants the manager’s teams won.
–Then add a bonus of  85 times the number of World Series won.

Let’s call the result HOF Manager Index Points (“MIPs”).  After the jump is a table of the top MIP totals in major league history.  Checking the table you’ll see that of the of the top 27 MIP totals (540 MIP points or more), 26 managers are either in the Hall of Fame (elected either as managers, executives or players) or are on the current Expansion Era Committee ballot.  The only manager with more than  540 MIPs who is not in the Hall, or on the current ballot, is Ralph Houk, who is down at 25th on the list with 558 MIPs. Continue reading →

According to results generated using Baseball-Reference’s Play Index, Josh Donaldson of the A’s led the majors with 90 games in which he played the entire game and his team won. The leaders in that category in 2013:

Josh Donaldson, 90 complete game wins
Ben Zobrist, 88 complete game wins
John Jay, 87 complete game wins
Andrelton Simmons, Andrew McCutchen and Matt Carpenter, 86 complete game wins

More on this odd statistic after the jump. Continue reading →

Wil Myers won the 2013 AL Rookie of the Year award, as announced this evening.  It was generally acknowledged that Myers’ season was likely the best of a not particularly impressive class of AL rookie seasons this year.  Baseball-reference’s WAR ranks several AL rookies seasons a bit ahead of Myers’ 2.0 WAR total, but no AL rookie produced a WAR season above 2.7, so nobody can really claim to have a big WAR advantage over the ROY winner.

That lack of a rookie season over 2.7 WAR (pitching WAR for pitchers, overall WAR for everyday players) is very unusual in the AL.  Indeed, it looks to me as if the last time the top WAR for a rookie season in the AL was under 2.8 was 1958 (not including the strike year of 1994).  Albie Pearson of the old Washington Senators won the Rookie of the Year in the AL in 1958, sixty-five years ago.

This post is for voting and discussion in the 36th round of balloting for the Circle of Greats (COG).  This round adds to the ballot those players born in 1940 who were not added in the previous round.  Rules and lists are after the jump. Continue reading →

Palmer, Briefly

In a near-repeat of the 26-26 tie vote between Pete Rose and Nolan Ryan in the 1941 round, Jim Palmer barely edged Rose, 27 votes to 25, to become the 35th inductee into the High Heat Stats Circle of Greats.  More on Jim and the voting after the jump. Continue reading →

It took a while for Circle of Greats voters to get past the limitations of Nolan Ryan’s somewhat un-nuanced approach to pitching.  But ultimately his undeniable talent for throwing pitches really hard and his extreme durability were enough to tie Pete Rose in a high-comment-generating scheduled voting round, and then to defeat Rose in a closely contested, head-to-head runoff.  Ryan becomes the 34th player inducted into the High Heat Stats Circle of Greats.  More on Ryan, and the voting, after the jump (oh, and here, courtesy of Katz’s Deli, is the sandwich missing in this post’s title: Katz’s Sandwich . Continue reading →

According to Wins Above Replacement (WAR, baseball-reference version), the top two rookies in the National League this past season were Jose Fernandez (6.3 pitching WAR) and Yasiel Puig (5.0 WAR).   How often have two rookies in the NL both reached 5 or more WAR (baseball-reference version, pitching WAR for pitchers and overall WAR for everyday players) in the same season, prior to this year? Continue reading →

This post is for voting and discussion in the 35th round of balloting for the Circle of Greats (COG).  This round begins to add those players born in 1940.  Rules and lists are after the jump. Continue reading →

Pete Rose and Nolan Ryan each appeared on exactly 26 of 58 ballots in the 1941 round of the Circle of Greats (COG) voting, just ahead of Jim Palmer, who appeared on 23 ballots.   To resolve the tie between Rose and Ryan, this post opens a runoff vote.  Unlike ordinary COG rounds, your ballots in this runoff should include one name, instead of the usual three names.  And unlike in ordinary rounds, where you have many choices of who to vote for, here you are choosing only between the two guys, Pete Rose and Nolan Ryan.  As always, feel free to explain why you are choosing who you are choosing, or if you merely prefer to state your choice without further explanation, that’s fine too.   Continue reading →

Heading back to Fenway now.  Five players have hit more than one homer at Fenway during a single World Series. Three of those guys played for the home team: Yaz had three homers at Fenway in the 1967 Series, Rico Petrocelli had two homers at Fenway in 1967, and Big Papi has two at home so far in the current Series.  The other two guys with multiple homers at Fenway during a World Series both did it for the Mets: Gary Carter had two in Game 4 in 1986 and Lenny Dykstra had one in Game 3 and one in Game 4 that same year.  Continue reading →