Circle of Greats 1980 Part 1 Runoff: Minnie Minoso vs. Scott Rolen

This post is for voting and discussion in a runoff election to decide the winner of the 141st round of balloting for the Circle of Greats (COG).  Here are the career AL and NL stats for our two candidates.

Player WAR OPS+ G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG OPS Pos Tm
Minnie Minoso 50.4 130 1835 7713 6579 1136 1963 336 83 186 1023 814 584 216 .298 .389 .459 .848 759H8/36 CHW-CLE-STL-WSA
Scott Rolen 70.1 122 2038 8518 7398 1211 2077 517 43 316 1287 899 1410 118 .281 .364 .490 .855 *5/H PHI-STL-TOR-CIN
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 2/28/2019.

Minoso also played three seasons in the Negro National League II (NNL2) and is credited with 3.0 WAR over 113 games and 520 PA, based on what are likely incomplete data.
 
To put those career totals into the context of the seasons in which the statistics were compiled, here are each player’s ranks among players (min. 3000 PA) for the indicated seasons, in which each played 25 or more games (for example, Minoso compiled the 12th highest WAR total over the fourteen seasons from 1951 to 1964, while Rolen had the 6th highest mark from 1996 to 2012). Bear in mind that there were 16, 18 and 20 major league teams during Minoso’s seasons, compared to 28 and 30 teams during Rolen’s seasons.
 
Player WAR oWAR dWAR OPS+ G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR XBH RBI BB SB BA OBP SLG OPS
Minnie Minoso (1951-1964) 12 12 114 20 6 6 6 6 8 5 4 30 9 9 11 5 15 13 45 24
Scott Rolen (1996-2012) 6 19 4 67 20 20 23 17 23 5 42 34 11 16 24 87 124 83 70 66
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 2/28/2019.

Our candidates’ top 100 career live ball era rankings (min. 5000 PA) look like this.

  • Minoso: OBP 64th
  • Rolen: WAR 56th, dWAR 31st, WAA 38th, 2B 44th, XBH 71st

And, here are their scores based on Bill James’ informal Hall of Fame metrics and Adam Darowski’s Hall of Stats, as well as their rankings for Jay Jaffe’s WAR Score System (JAWS). Note that the “Avg” and “Likely” benchmarks are established based on players already in the Hall of Fame. Click on the links below for each of the metrics to see the all-time leaders. 

Player HoF Standards (Avg=50) HoF Monitor (Likely=100) Black Ink (Avg=27) Gray Ink (Avg=144) Hall of Stats (Qualifying Minimum=100) JAWS
Minnie Minoso 37 104 16 232 111 18 (LF)
Scott Rolen 40 98 0 27 143 10 (3B)
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 2/28/2019.

Lastly, to amaze your friends, here is a fun fact for each of our candidates:

  • Minoso is the only player to reach 40 XBH each season from 1951 to 1961
  • Rolen retired in 2012 as the only third baseman to record 10 seasons with 30 or more doubles 

So, the choice is yours. However you decide, your ballot in this runoff round, unlike the usual three-name ballot, should identify only the one candidate you prefer (you will also need to add at least a little bit of extra verbiage though, because the WordPress engine that supports the site won’t accept comments of only one or two words).

All votes must be in by 11:59PM EST on Sunday night, February 16th, with vote changes allowed until 11:59PM EST on Friday night, February 14th. If the result of this runoff is still a tie, a tie-breaker process will be followed to discard the last votes cast until a winner is determined. So, vote early to ensure your vote counts! If you would like to keep track of the vote tally for the runoff, you can check this tally spreadsheet: COG 1980 Part 1 Runoff Vote Tally.

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