Jumping in with Two Feats

@Giants 4, Padres 0 — With his second complete game in the last three seasons, Tim Lincecum became the 23rd* pitcher since 1914 with two or more no-hitters, and the first with two against one opponent. (One guy double-dipped before the searchable era.) Lincecum walked only one, despite just 12 first-pitch strikes out of 28 batters.

 

  • The Pads have long been his favorite opponent: now 15-6, 2.38 in 28 starts, with 210 Ks in 187.1 IP.
  • If Lincecum’s ERA stays over 4 this year, he’d be the first pitcher with two no-hitters in seasons with ERA of 4.00 or above.

* Counting the one Roy Halladay threw in the 2010 NLDS.

I had hoped to do more on this, but here’s what I have for you. You can help flesh out the bones.

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Among the 23 pitchers with multiple no-hitters since 1914:

Gap between no-hitters, measured by the pitcher’s intervening games:

  • 0 — Johnny Vander Meer (same year)
  • 5 — Warren Spahn
  • 11 — Nolan Ryan
  • 13 — Nolan Ryan (same year), Sandy Koufax
  • 17 — Homer Bailey, Allie Reynolds (same year)
  • 21 — Virgil Trucks (same year)
  • 22 — Roy Halladay (same year, second one in NLDS)
  • 24 — Nolan Ryan
  • 28 — Tim Lincecum
  • 45 — Sandy Koufax
  • 47 — Steve Busby
  • 52 — Sandy Koufax
  • 55 — Don Wilson
  • 56 — Dutch Leonard
  • 58 — Nolan Ryan
  • 61 — Ken Holtzman
  • 80 — Mark Buehrle
  • 98 — Bob Feller
  • 108 — Jim Maloney
  • 124 — Hideo Nomo
  • 127 — Justin Verlander
  • 133 — Carl Erskine
  • 153 — Bill Stoneman
  • 183 — Bob Forsch
  • 211 — Nolan Ryan
  • 214 — Bob Feller
  • 223 — Jim Bunning
  • 268 — Nolan Ryan
  • 418 — Randy Johnson

Highest ERA in any of their no-hitter years (total of 49 seasons):

  • 4.50 — Hideo Nomo, 2001
  • 4.48 — Ken Holtzman, 1971
  • 4.42 — Tim Lincecum, 2014 (year in progress)
  • 4.39 — Bill Stoneman, 1969
  • 4.37 — Tim Lincecum, 2013
  • 4.28 — Bob Forsch, 1983
  • 4.25 — Carl Erskine, 1956
  • 4.23 — Steve Busby, 1973
  • 4.00 — Don Wilson, 1969

Fewest wins in any of their no-hitter years:

  • 5 — Virgil Trucks, 1952
  • 6 — Tim Lincecum, 2014 (year in progress)
  • 8 — Dutch Leonard, 1918 (left MLB in June for wartime service work)
  • 9 — Ken Holtzman, 1971
  • 10 — Tim Lincecum, 2013; Mark Buehrle, ’07; Bob Forsch, ’83; Don Wilson, ’67

Lowest winning percentage in their no-hitter years:

  • .208 — Virgil Trucks, 1952 (5-19)
  • .367 — Bill Stoneman, 1969 (11-19)
  • .375 — Ken Holtzman, 1971 (9-15)
  • .393 — Bob Forsch, 1978 (11-17)
  • .417 — Tim Lincecum, 2013 (10-14)
  • .455 — Bob Forsch, 1983 (10-12)
  • .462 — Bill Stoneman, 1972 (12-14)
  • .478 — Homer Bailey, 2013 (11-12)
  • .516 — Steve Busby, 1973 (16-15)
  • .526 — Mark Buehrle, 2007 (10-9)
  • .526 — Don Wilson, 1967 (10-9)
  • .533 — Randy Johnson, 2004 (16-14)
  • .538 — Nolan Ryan, 1975 (14-12)
  • .538 — Jim Bunning, 1958 (14-12)
  • .542 — Carl Erskine, 1956 (13-11)
  • .545 — Tim Lincecum, 2014 (6-5, year in progress)

Fewest career shutouts:

  • 3 — Homer Bailey (active)
  • 6 — Justin Verlander (active)
  • 7 — Tim Lincecum (active), Steve Busby
  • 9 — Mark Buehrle (active), Hideo Nomo
  • 14 — Carl Erskine

__________

A couple of no-no notes on Ken Holtzman:

  • His first no-hitter featured no strikeouts — one of two such since 1914 (the only one among these 54), and the only K-free shutout in the 1969 season. It came in Wrigley Field, four years to the day since Jim Maloney had no-hit the Cubs there over 10 innings.
  • Holtzman’s second no-no came amidst this wacky stretch: Three days before, he was shellacked to a career-worst 12 Game Score. (Check out the 1st and 4th innings.) Two days afterward, Leo Durocher brought Holtzman in to save a game in the 11th, but he served up a 3-run walk-off blast to Mike Lum — the only game-ending event Holtzman ever surrendered when he had the lead. And three days after that, he notched a career-best 96 Game Score in a 12-inning shutout of the Pirates — the same team that whomped him to start the sequence.
  • He came within one out of a third no-hitter: On June 8, 1975, he had gotten 26 outs from 26 Tigers (one walk erased by DP), but was turned away by Tom Veryzer. Yes, by Tom Veryzer.

 

__________

David Schoenfield’s otherwise lovely post repeats the canard that “no-hitters have become more prevalent in recent seasons.” This belief is still popular, but it’s unfounded — as long as you don’t cherry-pick the comparison years, or ignore the expansion from 16 teams to 30. Rather than repeat my whole case, I’ll just note key examples. All rates are expressed per 30 teams, and for the 5 seasons ending in a given year:

  • Sandy Koufax threw a no-hitter each year from 1962-65.
    1961-65 rate: 23 with Sandy, 17 without.
  • Nolan Ryan threw two no-hitters in 1973.
    1969-73 rate: 26 with Ryan, 24 without.
  • Ryan totaled four no-hitters from 1973-75.
    1971-75 rate: 20 with Ryan, 15 without.
  • Bob Feller’s third no-hitter — then a record — came in 1951.
    1947-51 rate: 19 with Feller, 17 without.
  • Lincecum has two no-hitters in the last two seasons.
    2010-14 rate: 21 with Lincecum, 19 without.

The historical context in which Lincecum has pitched is not more friendly to no-hitters than that of Koufax or Ryan.

__________

Lastly … With so much credit for the no-hitter being laid on San Diego’s historically weak offense, a few modest counterpoints are in order:

  • No other starter against them has gone past 7 innings allowing one hit or less.
  • Seattle has been held to 2 hits or less five times, one more than the Padres.
  • San Diego’s .217  BA against right-handers is not so much worse than the Cubs’ .223.
  • Against Lincecum in April, they got 7 hits and 3 runs in 6 IP.
  • There is some difference between “what they’ve done this year” and “who they really are.” Six of the eight position players Lincecum faced have career batting averages of at least .247. Seth Smith and Chase Headley have both hit Lincecum hard in the past, with OPS over .900 in at least 40 ABs.

On the other hand … San Diego’s .213 batting average is not just a park effect: They’re hitting .209 on the road, tied for the worst mark in searchable history. And their 2.89 runs per road game would be 4th-worst since 1969.

 

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oneblankspace
oneblankspace
10 years ago

Were it not for the requirement of multiple no-hitters, Francisco Liriano-no would be high on these lists. He has only one career shutout; it was a no-hitter in May 2011, one of his 9 wins in a season where he went 9-10 (.474) with a 5.09 ERA. Through the end of the 2013, he had only 3 career CG.

(And then there’s Joe Cowley, whose only career no-hitter was in 1986 and only career shutout was in 1984….)

Doug
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  oneblankspace

Or Philip Humber.

One CG, One Shutout, One No-Hitter, One Perfecto. 6.44 ERA.

Humber, incidentally, has 8.5 SO/9 in 37 IP this season in the PCL. But, he also has 4.6 BB/9 and 1.5 HR/9. So, barring a rash of injuries to the As bullpen, I’m not expecting to see much of him in Oakland this season.

Luis Gomez
Luis Gomez
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Any time someone mentions no-hit pitchers whose career was not so shinning, I think of former Cardinals hurler Bud Smith. He threw his masterpiece against the Padres (shocking!) on September 3rd, 2001.

Although he had a nice rookie season, he only pitched one more year, finishing with a career 7-8 record with a 4.95 ERA. His no-hitter was his lone CG and SHO.

David P
David P
10 years ago
Reply to  Luis Gomez

Another one is Mike Warren. As a 22 year old rookie for the A’s, he pitched complete games in his last three starts in 1983, going 28 innings, allowing only 12 hits and only 3 runs. The final of those was a no-hitter against the White Sox.

He made 18 subsequent career starts over the next two seasons and in only one of those did he make it as long as 7 innings.

robbs
robbs
10 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Thinking about Holtzman’s bid for a third non-no being spoiled by Tom Veryzyer. My dad turned 54 that day, I was just about to graduate high school, and it’s spoiled against a 102 loss Tigers team by a guy with a career WAR of MINUS 3.7. Gotta hurt. Fortunately my Tigers next shortstop was a COG member.

JasonZ
10 years ago
Reply to  oneblankspace

Joe Cowley.

His no-hitter was a 7-walk masterpiece,
a 7-1 victory against the California Angels.
This was his 33rd and final ML win.

Here is the list of all pitchers whose final
ML victory was a no-hitter:

1. Joe Cowley

Doug
Editor
10 years ago

Re: the Padres The Friars have been victimized by more than just Lincecum, having been no-hit more frequently than all other expansion teams and, relative to how long they’re been around, almost as often as the Rays. Here’s the list since 1914. The Cubs are the big surprise – only twice in 101 seasons! SFG 14 MIN 9 TOR 4 PHI 14 SDP 8 HOU 4 ATL 12 STL 6 WSN 4 LAD 12 NYY 6 SEA 3 OAK 11 LAA 6 MIL 3 BAL 11 NYM 6 COL 2 CLE 11 PIT 5 CHC 2 DET 9 CIN 5… Read more »

nightfly
10 years ago

Tangentially-related:

No doubt there are a plethora of OOTP fans on here. I stumbled into something entirely unique: I drafted a kid who, the very next day, made his pro-debut (short-season A ball) and threw a no-hitter.

I have been unable to find any real person in baseball history to have thrown a no-hitter in his first professional game, on any level. Perhaps one of the more savvy commenters knows the definitive answer?