Snippets from Sunday, May 18

Tigers 6, @Red Sox 2 — Not quite a Boston Massacre, but Detroit outscored the champs 13-3 in this weekend sweep, out-hit them 32-16, with an extra-base hits margin of 14-2. The Sox have three XBH-free home games this year, two in this series.

 

Last Fenway visitor to win three straight allowing two runs or less was the 2001 Yankees, with starts by Clemens, Mussina and El Duque.

September ’92 was the last time Boston went four straight home games with no more than one extra-base hit, and the last time one visitor did it to them three straight. (It was Detroit.)

One caveat to Detroit’s 27-12 start: They’ve only played 7 games against last year’s playoff teams. They haven’t played a soft schedule — B-R says they’re 15-6 vs. teams .500 or better — but they haven’t played Oakland yet. Four games in the Coliseum starting next Monday.

From Jake Peavy’s stats and what I saw tonight, he has a rough road ahead. Peavy got through his first 8 starts with a decent ERA, despite career-worst percentages in strikeouts, walks and home runs. Detroit smoked a lot of balls in the first three innings — three doubles, a homer and a Monster single, plus some loud outs. In three full trips through the order, Peavy fanned only the #8 and 9 hitters, once each.

Anibal Sanchez had faced Boston just once before in the regular season — his second career game, back in 2006. Papi homered twice and doubled off him then, but had just a single in six trips in last year’s ALCS; tonight, two walks and a groundout. Mike Napoli was the guy who hurt Sanchez in last year’s game 4; he went 0-2 with a walk.

Torii Hunter’s assists since moving to RF in 2011: 15, 14, 9, and none yet this year.

Detroit’s 11-game road win streak is their third-longest in searchable history. The 1984 Tigers won 17 straight, and the ’50 club took 12 in a row, starting with two in Fenway. The 1950 Tigers were one of the great overachievers, fighting the Yankees down to the last week with a low-wattage roster, before finishing three back. They split the season set with the defending champs, played over .600 both home and away, played at .552 or better in every month, and didn’t lose four straight until the last week. Unconventional manager Red Rolfe might have been lauded for the team’s sharp improvement in each of his first two years, but his poor people skills ticked off most of his players, and he didn’t last two more.

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Maybe that will get Justin Morneau noticed: His first Rockies walk-off. He’s hitting .327, 9 HRs, 32 RBI — and unlike many of his mates, he’s been good on the road, too. Morneau’s OPS is .940, OPS+ about 140. Colorado’s average OPS from first base in their first 20 years was .934 (Galarraga and Helton). Last year’s .702 was their worst ever, by 50 points, and Helton’s 90 OPS+ was their second-worst from a 1B regular.

First two-out, full-count, walk-off HR this year. (Last one from behind was June 2012, Derek Norris.)

Padres’ game-tying homer in the 9th by … Everth Cabrera? Well, six of his 11 career taters were in the 7th or later, including a walk-off slam. (Against K-Rod and the Mets, natch.)

First blown save by LaTroy Hawkins, after 10 locked down.

Tulo homered, but his 1-for-5 slashed his home BA by 32 points, from .603 to .571.

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The A’s are now 16-6 on the road.

Most games with 10+ runs scored: 8 for the A’s and Rockies, next is four.

Oakland’s 8th win by 8 runs or more; next-most is four. The modern record is 24 such wins, by the 1936 Yankees; then 21 by the 1931 and ’39 Yanks, and the ’53 Dodgers.

The ’39 Yanks had a +411 run differential, which I believe is a record. These A’s are +95 runs through 44 games, which projects to +350. Their pythagorean W% of .721 would be 4th-best in the modern era (1906 Cubs, 1902 Pirates, ’39 Yanks), and projects a record of 117-45.

Relax; I know they won’t do that. But they are clobbering people: They’re 13-2 in margins of 5+; Rockies are 12-3, next-most wins is nine. Oakland’s #1 in the AL in both scoring and run prevention.

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Alex Gordon’s the first Royal since 1987 with at least 4 hits, 3 runs and 6 RBI in a game (Kevin Seitzer). Also done by George Brett, U.L. Washington, and … Willie Wilson?

The top two in most innings/no earned runs, both bit the dust on home runs today — Adam Jones touching KC’s Aaron Crow (in his 18th inning), and rookie Kevin Kiermaier off Angels rookie Mike Morin (his 9th inning, first HR for each). New leader is Tony Sipp, who’s retired all 20 batters faced (6.2 IP).

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Another bags-filling IBB followed by a run-scoring walk, as Atlanta pulled even off Trevor Rosenthal with two outs in the 9th. A wild pitch by Carlos Martinez gave the lead to Atlanta. Cue Kimbrel; and that’s a wrap.

Men were on third and second when Rosenthal fell behind 2-and-0 on Evan Gattis, then put him on. Credit Jordan Schafer, who was 3 for 26 with one walk, for fouling off two full-count pitches to stay alive. But while Schafer’s been scuffling, he’s barely played this year. His career OBP against righties is .321; Gattis has hit .235 off righties. I’m not feeling that trade-off.

Key to that inning was Ryan Doumit’s two-out pinch-double, just before Gattis was passed.

__________

Milwaukee’s cooled off, but no one’s gained much ground. At 20-7, they led the Cards by 6.5, Reds by 7.5, Bucs by 9.5. Now at 27-17, those margins are 4.0, 7.0 and 8.5. While the Crew went 7-10, St. Louis went 9-7, Cincy 7-9, Pittsburgh 8-9.

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The 7th inning bit R.A. Dickey again, on Mitch Moreland’s home run after an infield error. Seventh-inning batters are 10 for 23 with 7 extra-base hits off the former Cy Young winner, with one strikeout in 25 PAs.

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Two straight series wins for Houston. I had actually forgotten their roof could be opened.

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Billy Hamilton’s first assist, with excellent form.

Devin Mesoraco went 4-for-4 with two doubles, batting .500 (27/54) with 12 extra-base hits, 17 RBI. He was stranded each time, including three leadoff hits.

Reds went 1-for-16 with RISP, dropping to .215 in that split. It’s just noise at this point, but the games lost stay lost.

__________

Adam Dunn tied a known record with his 13th game of 4+ strikeouts and SO=PA. Whom did he tie? A very famous All-Star with less than 1,000 career games, in the DH era. (Not a pitcher.)

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Albert Pujols was 0-for-7 off David Price before today’s 2-HR, 3-hit eruption.

Price’s stats just get more freakish: In almost 70 IP, he has 77 strikeouts, 6 walks — but 78 hits and 11 HRs for a 4.28 ERA. So, his K/W ratio is over 12; the qualified record is 11.0, by Bret Saberhagen in strike-shortened 1994. Only Cliff Lee has also come in at 10+ K/W. Of the nine prior seasons with 8+ K/W, the worst ERA was Curt Schilling’s 3.23 in 2002, which was darn good for that time, earning a 140 ERA+; the worst ERA+ for 8+ K/W was Lee’s 133 in 2010.

But there’s one other in Price’s vicinity this year: Bartolo Colon’s K/W ratio is over 7 (43/6), with a 5.34 ERA in 57 IP (64 ERA+). For a 7+ K/W ratio, the worst ERA was 3.44, worst ERA+ 128.

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‘Zona’s first back-to-back home wins since mid-September last year.

Yasiel Puig plunked in his last time up, streaks stopped at 16 games with a hit, 8 with an XBH.

Dee Gordon’s 12 for 59 since his 5-hit game, BA down from .357 to .304.

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SF’s 3-run 1st sunk Jacob Turner and the Fish. He had two strikes on six batters that inning, but all did something productive: Gregor Blanco, 0-2, HBP; Hunter Pence, 2-2, advancing grounder to right side; Buster Posey, 1-2, sac fly; Pablo Sandoval, 1-2, single; Tyler Colvin, 2-2, single; Brandon Hicks, 3-2, single. Four straight singles added two runs after two outs and none on. Turner was strong after that, pitching five more innings with one run on two hits, 7 Ks and a walk.

Ryan Vogelsong is shaping up. Five of his last seven starts, one run or less in 6+ IP.

Carter Capps has 14 Ks, one walk, in 10 IP. He was knocked around in his first two years, but his minor-league stats are impressive since he switched to relief. (Prob’ly due for a T.J. by August.)

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Have we started taking Felix for granted? In the three years since his Cy Young Award, he’s “only” #7 in pitching WAR. Today’s eight efficient innings left him 5-1, 2.94, with a career-best 5.0 K/W ratio.

Robinson Cano’s first 4-hit (or 3-hit) game for Seattle. Hitting .369 his last 26 games, but no HRs in that span, still one for the year.

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As you watch this, remember that Josh Harrison is an infielder by trade, and has never started in left field. He opened this game at third base, turned a shifty 3-5-3 DP in the 5th (corralling a short hop), and hit a tiebreaking home run in the 7th. Then he moved to LF, and where that catch in the 8th might have saved the tying run, with no outs and a man on first. He had played eight total innings in left before this game. It wasn’t all gems for Harrison, but a great game nonetheless. He’s 15 for 39 in nine starts this year, with 7 XBH.

Brett Gardner led off the home 1st with a triple (second game), then got picked off with one out and Teixeira up. Huh? The clip doesn’t show the defensive setup, but most teams pull the third baseman way off the bag for Teixeira, and maybe Gardner got too comfy with that.

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Heard a long radio rant this morning about the Mets’ “too-patient” offensive approach, how doesn’t fit this team or their park, and it’s a “manifest failure” since they’re next-to-last in batting average at .229. I wouldn’t bother with this, but it came from someone I like, so here goes:

To state the obvious, batting average doesn’t win games; runs do. Through Saturday, the Mets were 5th in NL scoring, slightly above average at 4.05 R/G, despite their tough park. One reason for this: They were #1 in NL walks per game.

Is that just an anomaly? Oakland was just 5th in AL BA, but easily #1 in scoring. They’re #1 in walks per game. Minnesota was 10th in AL BA, 13th in home runs, but 6th in scoring — they’re #2 in walks. Baltimore’s BA was the same as Oakland’s, .257, but they were 13th in scoring — and dead last in walks. The Yankees were #2 in AL BA, with solid power, but 11th in walks — and 7th in scoring, right at the league average.

Arizona’s out-hitting the Mets by almost 30 points, with far more power — but they’re last in walks per game, and scoring less than the Mets. Would you rather have a good batting average, or score more runs?

There might be a sound argument against the Mets’ approach. But basing it on batting average is a straight whiff.

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David Horwich
David Horwich
10 years ago

“Adam Dunn tied a known record with his 13th game of 4+ strikeouts and SO=PA. Whom did he tie? A very famous All-Star with less than 1,000 career games, in the DH era. (Not a pitcher.)”

Bo Jackson?

David Horwich
David Horwich
10 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

JA @ 3 –

“Very famous” was the giveaway. I presume there aren’t too many non-pitcher All-Stars with fewer than 1000 GP (leaving aside active platers) in the first place, but the combination of very famous + short career + strikeouts really only had one thing it might add up to.

David Horwich
David Horwich
10 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

I *am* surprised, John. Thanks for doing the research. How many of those guys were chosen during WW2, I wonder?

Doug
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  David Horwich

Apropos of nothing in particular, Bo Jackson’s 141 career HR are the most among players with fewer than 100 career doubles. He’s also one of only 8 players with 100 HR and 60% more HR than doubles. Rk Player HR 2B From To Age 1 Sammy Sosa 609 379 1989 2007 20-38 2 Mark McGwire 583 252 1986 2001 22-37 3 Harmon Killebrew 573 290 1954 1975 18-39 4 Dave Kingman 442 240 1971 1986 22-37 5 Ralph Kiner 369 216 1946 1955 23-32 6 Ron Kittle 176 100 1982 1991 24-33 7 Bo Jackson 141 86 1986 1994 23-31… Read more »

mosc
mosc
10 years ago
Reply to  David Horwich

Mark Reynolds has more than 1000 career games and is disqualified? Wow.

David P
David P
10 years ago

There was a massacre in Cleveland this weekend! The A’s outscored Cleveland 30-6, while sweeping the three game series. Cleveland has plenty of problems not the least of which is their defense. Using traditional stats, they have 45 errors which is 17 more than the MLB average and 7 more than the second place team (Nationals). Using advanced metrics, they have a -37 Rfield. The only team even remotely close to them is Minnesota at -23. I don’t see any way to search on defensive stats in the PI so no idea if Cleveland is trending for any kind of… Read more »

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
10 years ago
Reply to  David P

As far as I know the PI cannot be used to find team values of Rfield. I did what I thought was the next best thing. I went to the player season finder and got a list of the teams with the greatest number of players with Rfield less than -1. I then went to the team page of the top dozen teams on the list. The worst Rfield I found was -130 for the 1993 Padres. The 2005 Royals came in at -116 and the 1979 A’s came in at -115. Of course one should go far down the… Read more »

Dr. Doom
Dr. Doom
10 years ago

If -130 truly is the “record,” then Cleveland is on pace to break it. At their current rate, they’d finish with -136 Rfield. Yikes…

David P
David P
10 years ago

Wow, well done Richard! Last year, with many of the same players, Cleveland was only -26. They “lost” two of their worst defensive players Drew Stubbs (-14) and Mark Reynolds (-6) so it’s a bit surprising that they’ve been so bad.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
10 years ago

Here’ more:

1974 Cubs, Rfield = -139
1977 Braves, Rfield = -138

David P
David P
10 years ago

That ’77 Braves team featured one of the worst players ever – Pat Rockett. He put up a -5.5 WAR in only 152 games/459 PAs. He was equally bad at hitting (-33 Rbat) as he was at fielding (-38 Rfield).

Doug
Doug
10 years ago

Those are the worst two teams searching on FanGraphs (which does let you search by teams). The rest of the worst since 1901 (excl. 1953 AL for which data are missing):

1974 Cubs      -140
1977 Braves    -139
1997 Padres    -132
1993 Padres    -130
1979 Athletics -120
1998 Twins     -106
1968 Astros    -103
1976 Braves    -100
1991 Braves    -100
1992 Dodgers   -100
Richard Chester
Richard Chester
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Doug: My Fangraph search shows the 2005 Yankees with the worst Rfield with -143.7, which is greatly at odds with BR’s value of -109.

Doug
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Richard,

For consistency with older data, I was using TZ numbers for my searches. That -147 appears to be based on UZR (-141).

The -109 in B-R is based on DRS, which is about the same as the FanGraphs DRS number of -115.

Brent
Brent
10 years ago

So since you cited to my favorite Royals game ever, let me just say that Willie Wilson game from June 15, 1979 is a classic, featuring his best game as a Royal (including his first outside the park HR), an 8 run top of the 9th erasing an 11-6 deficit and turning it into 14-11 victory, and all this done after Whitey essentially “gave up” on the game, by taking two of his best players out of the game (Brett and Porter and McRae was already out injured). Not only were 3 of the Royals best players not a part… Read more »

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
10 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

For the quiz, would the answer be that two players, Wilson and Quirk, each had two hits in the 9th inning.

Doug
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Sneaky. With the big comeback, I was focusing on the batting results. Never thought to look at the pitching. Funny thing about that Royals record is that a month before this game, the Phillies had 3 pitchers allow 5+ runs in a win, the famous 23-22 contest at Wrigley. Only other time a team had 3 such pitchers in a win was when the Cardinals beat the Phillies 19-16 on 9-23-30. The Tigers have the most wins (9) when two pitchers allow 5+ runs, followed by the Browns, Indians and White Sox with 6. Toronto leads expansion teams with 4… Read more »

Doug
Editor
10 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Don’t know what the unique quirk is (unless it was Jamie) involving two Royals, but that game stands as the Royals team record for Hits (21) in a game with zero walks. It also tied or established Royals team records for singles (18) and players with two singles (6) in a 9-inning game (both marks have since been eclipsed). It was also the last game at 3rd base (and his first in 4 years) for George Scott who, in his first game as a Royal, replaced George Brett when Brett was given the night off after the Brewers took an… Read more »

mosc
mosc
10 years ago

Here’s a Sunday note that slipped through (probably with good reason). 28 year old Pat Venditte made his AAA Season debut for the Scranton/WB Rail Riders after an 0.82 ERA over 22IP in AA. He struck out each of the 5 batters he faced using both arms to gain a platoon advantage. His only prior AAA experience came at the very end of 2012 (13IP) before suffering an injury that cost him most of his 2013 season. He’s NOT on the 40 man roster and will be 29 before draft day so it would likely require at least one pitcher… Read more »

Luis Gomez
Luis Gomez
10 years ago
Reply to  mosc

I wonder if splits from both sides are available. He played Winter ball a couple of years ago here in Mexicali and put good numbers with both arms (at least, according to local media).

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
10 years ago

I was wondering if there was a team in the WC era who won the World Series without ever being in 1st place.

Indeed. And of course.
The 2003 Marlins.

They were 10 games back on May 13, finished 10 back, and pretty much stayed right in that range for the whole season.

Next closest to zero days in first in the last 20 years:
The 1997 Marlins

11 days.
The first 11 of the season.
Chasing after April 13th.
Finished 9 back.

Jeff B
Jeff B
10 years ago
Reply to  Voomo Zanzibar

I dont know what I liked more about the 2 Marlins titles. The fact that the Braves won the division every year from 91-05 and the Marlins still won 1 more championship than they did in that time period. Or the fact that the Marlins won more championships in their first 11 seasons than the Phillies did in their first 100+ seasons (until they matched the Marlins in 2008).