Seven Streaking Thoughts

Please don’t be long … please don’t you be very long” — I’m hoping the topic’s not moot by the time you finish!

 

(1) Since 1969 and before Toronto’s current streak, there were 66 one-season streaks of at least 11 wins that had a chance to be extended.* Those teams went 30-36 bidding for game 12.

* The 1970 and ’71 Orioles each won their last 11 games of the year and are not included in this count.

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(2) Through 6/23/2013, Atlanta is the only division leader that also owns the division’s longest winning streak this year:

  • Boston’s best is 7, surpassed by Toronto’s 11;
  • Detroit’s 5 is topped by Cleveland & KC (6 each), and matched by Minnesota;
  • Three AL West teams have longer streaks than Texas’s 5 (A’s 9, Angels 8, Astros 6);
  • Milwaukee has the longest streak in the NL Central (9), plus a share of last place; and
  • Arizona’s 3 pursuers all have longer streaks than the Snakes’ 5-gamer (Rockies 8, Padres 7, Giants 6).

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(3) Last year, 9 of the 19 longest streaks were by teams that missed the playoffs, including 5 of the 10 longest:
(bold=division winner, bold italic=wild card):

  • 10 — Reds, Yankees
  • 9 — Athletics, White Sox
  • 8 — Nationals, Rangers, Rays, Angels, Padres, Mariners
  • 7 — Braves (twice), Yankees, Athletics, Rangers, Marlins, Mariners, Phillies, Rays

_______________

(4) For the last 20 World Series champions, the median best win streak is 8:

  • 2012 Giants, 6 (there were 19 longer streaks; 10 the longest)
  • 2011 Cardinals, 5 (44 longer streaks; 12 the longest)
  • 2010 Giants, 5 (36 longer; 11 the longest)
  • 2009 Yankees, 9 (4; 11)
  • 2008 Phillies, 7 (15; 10)
  • 2007 Red Sox, 5 (29; 11)
  • 2006 Cardinals, 7 (27; 12)
  • 2005 White Sox, 8 (4; 10)
  • 2004 Red Sox, 10 (2; 12)
  • 2003 Marlins, 7 (14; 12)
  • 2002 Angels, 10 (1; 20)
  • 2001 Diamondbacks, 9 (6; 15)
  • 2000 Yankees, 8 (5; 15)
  • 1999 Yankees, 7 (13; 14)
  • 1998 Yankees, 10 (3; 11)
  • 1997 Marlins, 8 (6; 10)
  • 1996 Yankees, 5 (43; 11)
  • 1995 Braves, 9 (1; 12)
  • 1993 Blue Jays, 9 (3; 11)
  • 1992 Blue Jays, 8 (7; 13)

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(5) Win streaks of 12 or more in the divisional era:
(within one season, regular season only, completed seasons only)

  • 20 wins — 2002 Athletics — Lost first round
  • 16 wins — 1977 Royals — Lost ALCS
  • 15 wins
    — 2001 Mariners — Lost ALCS
    — 2000 Braves — Swept in first round
    1991 Twins — WON IT ALL
  • 14 winss
    — 1999 Padres — Finished 74-88
    — 1991 Rangers — Finished 85-77 (10 games behind)
    — 1988 Athletics — Lost WS
    — 1973 Orioles — Lost ALCS
  • 13 wins
    — 1999 Orioles — Finished 78-84
    — 1992 Braves — Lost WS
    — 1991 Phillies — Finished 78-84
    — 1987 Brewers — Finished 91-71 (7 games behind)
    — 1982 Braves — Swept in NLCS
    — 1978 Orioles — Finished 90-71 (9 games behind)
    — 1977 Phillies — Lost NLCS
  • 12 wins
    — 2011 Rangers — Lost WS
    — 2011 Tigers — Lost ALCS
    — 2006 Red Sox — Finished 86-76 (9 games behind wild card)
    — 2004 Astros — Lost NLCS
    — 2004 Devil Rays — Finished 70-91
    — 2003 Diamondbacks — Finished 84-78 (7 games behind wild card)
    — 2001 Cubs — Finished 88-74 (5 games behind division & wild card)
    — 1999 Astros — Lost first round
    — 1995 Red Sox — Swept in first round
    — 1988 Red Sox — Swept in ALCS
    1982 Cardinals — WON IT ALL
    — 1980 Twins — Finished 77-84
    — 1976 Dodgers — Finished 92-70 (10 games behind)

— Just two out of 29 teams that won at least 12 in a row, went all the way.

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(6) Win streaks of 11 or more by World Series champs in the divisional era:

  • 15 — 1991 Twins
  • 12 — 1982 Cardinals
  • 11 — 1986 Mets
  • 11 — 1970 Orioles
  • 11 — 1969 Mets

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(7) The Blue Jays are 52-79 all-time in Tropicana Field, and their starting pitcher tonight, Esmil Rogers, has pitched better at home (which seems only fitting).


May the better team win!

 

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Dalton Mack
Editor
11 years ago

Seems like another Harrison-penned cut is more appropriate… http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6ghgQe2ikA

But either way, good stuff. I remember that ’04 Rays streak. A team that could barely string together consecutive victories somehow won 12 in a row. Naturally they went 37-57 the rest of the way…

Doug
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  Dalton Mack

The 2004 Devil Rays are the only team since 1916 with both a winning streak and a losing streak of 12+ games.

donburgh
donburgh
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

1987 Brewers also did it. They started out 13-0, but then, on May 3rd, began a 12 game losing streak.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago
Reply to  donburgh

Thanks for the correction.

Figured out why I missed it. B-R shows the winning streak as a 16 game streak started by the 1986 Brewers (starting with the last 3 games of the year), and the losing streak by the 1987 club (of course).

Wish there was a way to turn off those wrap-around streaks.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

I missed it the same way you did.

bstar
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

’82 Braves came very close. 13 straight wins to start the season, then they lost 11 in a row (and 15 of 16) in August of that year.

Dan McCloskey
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  Dalton Mack

Perhaps this Jeff Lynne song is now more appropriate: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ht8JDbWUM1E

Jimbo
Jimbo
11 years ago

As soon as I saw your article, the Rays went back to back to back.

Dr. Doom
Dr. Doom
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

“Are you sure they didn’t go back-to-back-to-back in the Vinny-Castilla-Fred-McGriff-Jose-Canseco days?” he asked, tongue planted firmly in cheek.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

John: I also made a check and I agree with your findings. You probably did it quicker than I did.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Myers is one of a handful of visiting players whose first ML HR was a GS at Yankee Stadium. Others were Zeb Eaton, Saul Rogovin, Billy Shantz, Camilo Pascual and Rick Peters. There may be more.

no statistician but
no statistician but
11 years ago

That’s quite a list, RC.

Three pitchers, a back-up catcher, and a one-year starting infielder. I didn’t even think Billy Shantz had enough power to put one out, but I see he had another. His 139 lb brother hit a homer too. Not exactly the bash brothers.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago

I found two Yankees who have done it, Hideki Matsui and Horace Clarke. I discovered that Clarke’s first two ML HR were GS, the second one was on the road. I wonder if anyone else’s first two HR were GS.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago

Faye Throneberry also did it.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago

@23: Doug was responding to my question about a player’s first two HR being GS anywhere, not just Yankee Stadium.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago

Cody Ross also had grannies for his first two HR, separated by three seasons.

Dave Kingman’s first career HR was a pinch-hit grand slam. The Astros’ Justin Maxwell and the Padres’ Jeremy Hermida did this as did one Harl Maggert (3 career HR). Hermida is the only player to do it in his first career PA.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago

Fred Lewis came close. His first HR was a 3-run job, the next 2 were GS.

Doug
Editor
11 years ago

Figured out how to do this in Streak Finder.

Add Craig Counsell, Fritz Connally and Bobby LaMotte to the grand-slam for first two career HR list. Those three plus Clarke, Throneberry and Cody Ross should be the complete list since 1916.

Connally and LaMotte each had only 3 career HR. Like Cody Ross, LaMotte’s two grannies were separated by 3 seasons.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago

@29 Doug: Do you mind divulging how you did it? I can’t seem to do it.

Doug
Editor
11 years ago

Richard, On Steak Finder Batting: – check To Start Player’s Career – under Find Longest Streaks, select RBI >= 4 – click on Display Additional, Advanced Criteria and then set HR >= 1 – click Get Report This has the effect of only looking at games in which a player homered, and then looking at streaks within those games with 4+ RBI, starting at the beginning of the player’s career. You get a manageable number of players to check to see if the 4 RBI games actually had grand slams in them. BTW, for the pre play-by-play batters, you can… Read more »

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago

@32 Thanks Doug. I never did understand the meaning of Advanced Criteria.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago

@32: For the pre play-by-play games you can check the player’s home run log to see how many men were on base.

Doug
Editor
11 years ago

@34. Not always, Richard. For example, none of Bobby LaMotte’s homers show the men-on-base in the HR log (there isn’t even a column for it). But, the info was in the Retrosheet box.

Now that I look at LaMotte again, I should add the asterisk that his second grand slam was of the “bounce” variety that would be scored a double today.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago

But his HR log shows 4 RBI for each of his first two HR.

Brent
Brent
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

John:

What is the story with Peters? He had a pretty successful rookie season in 1980 (103 OPS+, which for a CF with some speed, seems acceptable) and then only played part of the next year and was off the Tigers after that. Did he get hurt? I remember him from his baseball card, but don’t remember why he dropped off the face of the earth.

Jonas Gumby
Jonas Gumby
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

John, I also was a bit disappointed in the statuesque posing. Even David Ortiz gets out of the box quick when he’s unsure.