Harvey’s heroics, and some other Monday game notes

[If you’ve had enough Harvey by now, skip down to “Other Monday action.”]

Six inches, maybe four: That’s what came between Matt Harvey and 9 perfect innings. The only blot on his line was a 2-out infield hit in the 7th by Alex Rios, gloved in the hole by Ruben Tejada with a jump-throw that was a split second late. Move that grounder a few inches to the right….

 

But it was ever thus in near-misses. And we can’t say it would have been a perfect game — you don’t get any kind of no-hitter without going the distance, and the Mets couldn’t score in regulation, either. Since Harvey didn’t stay in for the 10th after 105 pitches (on a week’s rest), who’s to say he would have stayed in with 100 pitches? I think Terry Collins is done with extending pitchers to chase personal records.

Tejada is a solid glove, not great. No knock on Ruben, but most Mets fans saw Rey Ordonez make that play dozens of times, with his trademark half-slide and throw from one knee. But no recriminations.

Harvey’s 1st-inning nosebleed was repacked between innings. If he’d completed a perfecto, would the Bloody, Snotty Cotton Ball have gone to the Hall of Fame?

Watching the game on TV, I didn’t think Harvey was racking up whiffs, but he finished with 12 Ks. When you go 9 innings, you can get to 12 by 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 0, 2. He got a close call on a check swing on his last batter, which otherwise would have been his first walk.

The Sox came in with a .229 BA and .283 OBP and last in AL scoring, which is why I set my DVR. They weren’t hacking wildly, but with Harvey throwing strikes — 20 of 28 first pitches, 76 of 105 overall — they had 11 ABs settled in 1 or 2 pitches.

Harvey pitched in the 9th for the first time as a pro. His season stats now read: 1.28 ERA, .133 BA, 49.1 IP, 22 hits, 7 runs, 12 walks, 58 Ks.

He’s fanned 33% of all batters. For a frame of reference (and not because I think he’ll maintain this pace), there have been 6 qualified seasons with a 33% K rate: 5 by Randy, 2 by Pedro, and Kerry Wood‘s rookie year. The season record is Pedro’s 37.5% in 1999.

Somewhat lost in the Harvey buzz, Hector Santiago was sharp for a second straight start since moving up from the bullpen to face Texas last week. In 12.1 IP, he’s allowed 1 run on 6 hits, with 4 walks and 14 Ks. He’s from nearby Newark, NJ, and had a large group of family & friends in the stands tonight. Good on you, Hector!

A search on Baseball-Reference for “the harvey” still brings up Harvey Kuenn. That might change by year’s end.

I moved to New York City in the summer of ’84, just as Doc Gooden was making The Leap. My first trip to Shea was Doc’s 1-hitter, so of course he’s my frame of reference for a young Mets stud. I don’t think Harvey’s as electric as Gooden was then, or in his followup Cy Young year. But I think he has a brighter future.

Gooden reigned with two premium pitches, the “rising” fastball (back when umps would call a chest-high strike), and the 12-to-6 yakker. In year 3, the league started laying off the high cheese — you couldn’t hit it, anyway — and while he was still good in years 3-6 (until the injury), he was never again dominant. Harvey has a bigger arsenal; his change is already excellent, and his breaking balls are improving by the week. And he’ll be more protected. Gooden at 18 tossed 191 innings (minors), then 218 at 19 and 277 at 20. Harvey worked about 170 IP last year, age 23; I’d expect a hard cap of 200 this time.

Harvey’s gem came in his 17th game. He’s the 12th pitcher since 1916 within his first 20 games to go at least 9 IP with no more than 1 baserunner (H, BB or HBP). Half those games have come since 2008. (Whatever happened to Zach Stewart?) Harvey’s the first of that group to add 10+ strikeouts. The list includes a no-hitter by Vida Blue (16th game, after a 1-hitter in game 14) and a perfecto by Charlie Robertson (5th game, with a 2-year layoff after a 1-game trial).

Fastest to a game of 1 baserunner in 9+ innings (since 1916)

Rk Gcar Player Age Date Tm Opp Rslt App,Dec IP H R ER BB BR SO Pit Str GSc BF HBP
1 1 Jimmy Jones 22.154 1986-09-21 SDP HOU W 5-0 SHO9 ,W 9.0 1 0 0 0 1 5 90 28 0
2 3 Travis Wood 23.154 2010-07-10 CIN PHI L 0-1 GS-9 9.0 1 0 0 0 1 8 109 74 93 28 0
3 5 Charlie Robertson 26.089 1922-04-30 CHW DET W 2-0 9.0 0 0 0 0 0 6 93 27 0
4 9 Von McDaniel 18.101 1957-07-28 (1) STL PIT W 4-0 SHO9 ,W 9.0 1 0 0 0 1 4 89 28 0
5 10 Zach Stewart 24.342 2011-09-05 (2) CHW MIN W 4-0 SHO9 ,W 9.0 1 0 0 0 1 9 114 75 94 28 0
6 16 Hiroki Kuroda 33.148 2008-07-07 LAD ATL W 3-0 SHO9 ,W 9.0 1 0 0 0 1 6 91 61 91 28 0
7 16 Vida Blue 21.055 1970-09-21 OAK MIN W 6-0 SHO9 ,W 9.0 0 0 0 1 1 9 95 28 0
8 17 Woodie Fryman 26.080 1966-07-01 PIT NYM W 12-0 SHO9 ,W 9.0 1 0 0 0 1 8 93 27 0
9 17 Matt Harvey 24.041 2013-05-07 NYM CHW W 1-0 GS-9 9.0 1 0 0 0 1 12 105 76 97 28 0
10 17 Mat Latos 22.155 2010-05-13 SDP SFG W 1-0 SHO9 ,W 9.0 1 0 0 0 1 6 106 67 91 28 0
11 18 Jonathon Niese 23.226 2010-06-10 (2) NYM SDP W 3-0 SHO9 ,W 9.0 1 0 0 0 1 6 108 76 91 28 0
12 19 Hipolito Pichardo 22.334 1992-07-21 KCR BOS W 8-0 SHO9 ,W 9.0 1 0 0 0 1 4 104 69 89 28 0

Von McDaniel, by the way, was Lindy’s little brother and teammate. He pitched 17 games as an 18-year-old, going 7-5 with a 3.22 ERA, a 2-hit shutout in his first start and the 1-hitter in his 7th. He hurt his arm the next year, switched to infield in the minors, but never made it back.

Travis Wood (also above) was in action Monday with his 7th straight quality start (no cheapies). He’s finally starting to redeem the promise of that gem from his 3rd game. Kuroda also pitched Monday, a tough loss in Coors; still going strong at 38. Both have ERAs in the 2.30 range.

_______________

Mike Baxter is 17 for 47 as a pinch-hitter (.362), with 10 doubles and a .450 OBP. With men in scoring position, he’s 7 for 16 with 11 RBI. But this was his first walk-off — in fact, his first RBI ever in the 9th or later. He’s been awful as a starter, one historic catch notwithstanding.

Interesting choice in the 10th by Robin Ventura: Baxter was announced with a man on 2nd and 1 away, the righty Nate Jones in his second inning. Ventura could have gone to the lefty, Matt Thornton; Baxter hasn’t hit lefties at all (3 for 27), and no other Met is an accomplished pinch-hitter. Or he could have walked Baxter, setting up a DP, and had Jones go after Tejada, hitting .243 overall and much worse against RHPs; if the inning continued, he could have gone to Thornton for the lefty Daniel Murphy.

But here’s why it’s interesting, not necessarily puzzling: Nate Jones has a huge reverse split in his short career — .296 BA by righties, .193 by lefties (21-109). I don’t know if I’ve ever seen a manager put faith in a reverse split in a tight spot — maybe Lasorda with Fernando’s screwball against righties. (But Tommy mainly just left Fernando in until he had to come out.) If you’ve heard Ventura speak of Nate’s ability to get lefties out, let us know.

__________

Our beloved Mets broadcast team of Gary Cohen and Ron Darling were adamant that Ike Davis, the winning run on 2nd, should have come out for a pinch-runner. I disagreed. Davis is slow, not glacial; he’d scored from 2nd on a single in over half his chances. And Baxter hits a lot of doubles, 28% of career hits. (Last night’s winner would have been another, had he needed to go past 1st.) But more, I saw the game going long, and even though Ike’s been dreadful so far, I wanted that walk-off threat.

__________

Another footnote: Bobby Parnell, who retired the side in order for the win (2 Ks), has allowed 6 hits, 2 walks and 2 runs in 14 innings. He has just 3 saves (in 5 opps), but also has 3 wins from games he entered that were tied. “The hi-lev inches we need are everywhere around us….

__________

There’s been one no-hitter against the White Sox since 1992 — Francisco Liriano’s odd 6-walk, 2-K effort in a 1-0 win two years ago. He bested Edwin Jackson, who’d tossed his own 8-walk, 149-pitch no-no 10 months earlier, also in a 1-0 game.

The last 1-0 game in extra innings featured two starters who each left after 8 innings, having thrown 105 pitches (Luke Hochevar) and 114 pitches (David Price). The Royals won that game in the 10th, ending with a clean inning by Greg Holland. There have been 53 1-0 games since the start of last year; only 9 of those were complete games, and 2 of those were no-hitters.

__________

Other Monday action:

Craig Kimbrel, meet Jose Jimenez. By my check, the last time a pitcher allowed tying and go-ahead HRs with 2 outs in the 9th or later, same inning, was June 8, 2004, Marlins over Indians, the blows by Miguel Cabrera and Damion Easley. The last such game with back-to-back HRs came just one week earlier, when Atlanta’s Nick Green (3-run shot) and J.D. Drew (next pitch) connected off Montreal’s Rocky Biddle. Jimenez and Biddle saw their careers end that season. (Joke, bstar! Well, not for them….)

The last game with tying and go-ahead HRs with 2 outs in the 9th or later, not necessarily the same pitcher, was May 13, 2007, Oakland over Cleveland — Milton Bradley off Joe Borowski, who allowed 2 more hits and gave way to Fernando Cabrera, who surrendered Jack Cust’s walk-off.

The last pinch-hit tying or go-ahead HR with 2 outs in the 9th or later was last June 17, a memorable rivalry game between the Royals and Cardinals in St. Louis. The Cards were up 2-1 after back-to-back jacks by Matt Holliday and Allen Craig in the 6th. In the 9th, Jason Motte fanned the first 2 on 7 pitches. Billy Butler pinch-hit and fell behind, 0-2, but pumped the next one into the left-center seats to tie. KC went ahead in the 14th on a double by Yuniesky Betancourt, who had come in for an injured Chris Getz and went 0-5 with a DP before that tiebreaker. But with 2 outs in their half, Yadier Molina knotted it up again, converting a leadoff walk from Broxton. Next inning, Betancourt struck again, a 2-out, 2-run shot, and Broxton hung on for the win.

Devin Mesoraco’s previous biggest HR was a go-ahead grand slam off reliever Kris Medlen, last May 24, to the benefit of Homer Bailey.

So, “what’s wrong with Kimbrel?” There’s talk of a couple missing m.p.h., but here’s another possibility: Nothing significant. In the 3 blown saves, he fanned 7 of 15 batters, and walked 1. One game was in Colorado, where such things are a way of life. Another featured a poor choice of location for a fastball to David Wright. The latest, Mesoraco hit a pitch that was knee-high at most, middle of the plate, and parked it over the right-center wall. I haven’t seen many RHBs drive that pitch out in that direction. Choo’s HR was also knee-high. (Could they be “stealing” location?) Anyway, while Kimbrel’s K% is below last year’s superhuman rate, it’s about the same as in 2011, when he was also superb. Three bad games in a 2-week cluster just isn’t enough to judge. Aroldis Chapman had a brutal stretch last June: 7 games, 8 ER in 6.1 IP, 3 HRs, 3 blown saves, 4 losses. He’d been unscathed before that, and got right back on track afterwards, 4 runs in his last 37 games, 30 for 31 in saves.

Mesoraco and Wright showed one thing, though: With a barrel-heavy bat and a high-90s fastball, you don’t need a big swing to knock it out. Those weren’t defensive cuts, no, but they weren’t “home-run swings.”

__________

Only the Ohio teams have won two 1-0 games this year. Each had just one last year. Congrats to Zach McAllister, who tied his best game score with 7.2 shutout stanzas.

Tommy Milone took this year’s first loss with 7+ IP and no earned runs. There were two such games last year, by Kershaw and Kennedy.

The 2nd inning is always the lowest-scoring inning for starting pitchers as a group. Tim Lincecum has a 12.86 ERA in the 2nd after 7 starts — 0, 5, 0, 0, 0, 3 and 2.

That’s 12 games now where a SF starter allowed 5+ runs, and 6 of them at home, where they had 9 all last year.

Kyle Kendrick is on a 6-game roll, averaging 7 IP and less than 2 runs, still keeping his gopheritis in check.

Brandon League was sunk by the leadoff walk to Gerardo Parra, almost as much as Goldschmidt’s homer. Putz did the same in turn, but at least he had the injury excuse.

Nice to see a QS at last from Brandon McCarthy, especially in light of the injury to J.A. Happ. All McCarthy suffers from now is a .385 BAbip.

Yanks were this year’s first Coors shutout victims. The Rox have allowed 4.2 R/G through 16 home dates; their best season average was 4.7 R/G in 2009-10. (Last year, 6.5 R/G.)

Teams scoring exactly 2 runs in Coors Field are now 27-210.

Four total bases or less in Coors Field (as for the Yanks): 39 games, one win (with 7 walks creating all 3 runs).

Two steals by Ichiro, passing Ed Delahanty and Ron LeFlore for #49 on the career list with 456 SB. Bobby Bonds is next.

I’m sure Jorge De La Rosa pitched well; he has 3 games of 6 scoreless innings, as many as anyone around. But the Yanks have really struggled to hit lefties — .216 BA, .633 OPS. Somehow, they’re still 8-4 against southpaw starters.

Scott Diamond had the league’s lowest walk rate last year, and has shaved it even more so far (3 BB in 29.2 IP). Could he prove to be that rare pitcher who can succeed over time with less than 5 SO/9? So far, he’s shown the needed components — excellent walk rate, manageable HR rate, plenty of DPs. Out of 50 AL pitchers with 150+ IP since 2012, Diamond is #40 in BA (.275), but #22 in OBP (.308) and #4 in GDPs.

Twins are 5-2 in blowouts; 31-59 for 2011-12.

Seems to me I’ve heard this song before: Rangers OPSing .838 at home, .672 away.

Travis Wood has kept his team in every game so far, but expect some comedown from his .202 BAbip and .132/.396 with men on.

Who thought the Cubs starters would have a 3.41 ERA, tied for 2nd in the NL and 3rd in IP/GS?

Heard some cheap shots about Houston’s “Triple-A lineup” during Detroit’s sweep. What does that say for the Jays, M’s and ChiSox, all scoring less per game than Houston?

__________

In Monday’s notes, I neglected Mark DeRosa’s 2-run pinch-HR in the Jays’ comeback. DeRosa has been a very good pinch-hitter — not a ton of power, but a career .281 BA and .373 OBP, both better than his overall marks. With anyone on base, he’s gone 21 for 58, .362 BA, .465 OBP, with 22 RBI and just 1 DP.

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Ed
Ed
11 years ago

In last night’s Indians-A’s game, Yoenis Cespedes got thrown out trying to steal 2nd with one out in the 9th in a one run game. I thought it was a bit odd to be trying to steal in that situation but in fact the previous 25 stolen base attempts against Chris Perez had all been successful. I imagine this is a “closer thing” and likely related to at least 3 factors: 1) Catchers not wanting to throw the ball away in that situation, 2) Closers not really putting much effort into keeping runners close, 3) Some may actually be “defensive… Read more »

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

John – As I said, I don’t think it’s anything particular about Perez. Just to have some point of comparison, I took a look at Jonathan Papelbon. During one stretch of his career, runners were successful in 45 of 46 attempts! Oddly, he’s subsequently had three in a row thrown out.

Paul E
Paul E
11 years ago

John:
If Harvey keeps this up he should start the All Star game. Do you recall Jose DeLeon pitching several low-hit games for the Pirates when he first came up? And, he always seemed to pitch in tough luck…losing low scoring games in extra innings by some ridiculously odd circumstance or another.

BTW, if anyone ever noticed, when I write on this blog i tend to “…..” a lot. Forgive me. I learned this style of grammar/communication listening to Tony Kubek ramble on during the Saturday game of the week on NBC 🙁

bstar
11 years ago

John, you said in the first week of the season that Craig Kimbrel was “loose”, which was completely correct. He’s past that, but his velocity is definitely down. Last year throwing 98-99, Kimbrel had hitters so off-balance last year that he could throw a fastball down the middle and hitters would rarely touch it. This year, at 95 mph, a ball over the heart of the plate is getting tattooed. Maybe Kimbrel’s location is just off as well. I’m not panicking because of bad results recently, but in both Kimbrel blown saves this week Eric O’Flaherty got touched up as… Read more »

bstar
11 years ago

If anyone’s bored, great story from Jonah Keri about Clayton Kershaw:

http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/9253247/clayton-kershaw-best-pitcher-league-blasphemy-compare-sandy-koufax

RJ
RJ
11 years ago
Reply to  bstar

That was a wonderful read, thanks for sharing. Although it was worth it just for the Inception anecdote.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago

For as long as I live, I’ll never understand why managers make the decisions they do. Yankees and Rockies tied 2-2, top of the 9th, Yankees have runners on 2nd and 3rd, one out. Rafael Betancourt on the mound. Rockies manager Walt Weiss has Rafael Betancourt intentionally walk Jayson Nix to load the bases. Why oh why would you do that??? I realize that it sets up a possible double play but a) Nix is terrible against righties, striking out against them 31% of the time in his career, b) The Yankees then bring Travis Hafner up to pinch hit.… Read more »

Doug
Doug
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

I thought maybe, possibly, Betancourt had Hafner’s number, so that Weiss might like that matchup.

But, no such luck. In their only previous meeting in 2011, Hafner had an 8th inning line drive RBI single as the Indians came back from a 3-1 deficit to tie (though they lost the game in the 9th).

Guess Weiss just wanted that force out at home, and was willing to take whatever risks might attend that strategy.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago

Re: extending pitchers to chase personal records Made me think of Mark Gardner of the Expos who no-hit the Dodgers thru 9 innings and 109 pitches, allowing two walks and facing just one batter over the minimum. 5 pitches into the 10th inning, he had allowed two hits and was relieved. Three pitches later, he had an L to show for his night’s work. http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/LAN/LAN199107260.shtml The Expos were shut out again the next night, but turned the table on the Dodgers the day after that with El Presidente’s perfecto. Which is probably why nobody (except Mark and me) remembers the… Read more »

Doug
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Actually, Owen likely wouldn’t have scored. Grissom’s hit was an infield single.

Orel Hershiser, Kevin Gross and Jay Howell combined to almost match Gardner’s effort, holding the Expos to just two hits, neither of which left the infield.

Paul E
Paul E
11 years ago

Re Harvey’s auspicious start, Jose DeLeon (not to beat a retired horse) had two games scores of 93 in his first 8 major league starts – a world record in the Play Index Era (1916 – present).

I guess the comparisons to Seaver are great for Mets fans, however let’s just hope Harvey stays healthy and can settle into a dependable #1

Abbott
Abbott
11 years ago

The A’s game made me physically ill last night. For a good laugh, listen to the Indians radio broadcast – they were convinced the replay showed it was a HR. So was everybody else. What’s the point in having replay? The sad thing is that nothing will happen to that pathetic piece of shit of an umpire Hernandez. This is nothing new for him. I’m still sick this morning.

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Abbott

Abbot – As an Indian’s fan, I think we all agree that it was a home run. Hard to know what the umps were looking at when they were viewing the video. Hernandez is the same ump that I complained about after the first game of the series for failing to toss Parker after nearly taking Reynolds’ head off with a pitch.

Abbott
Abbott
11 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Not sure why you would toss Parker. He had no reason to throw at Reynolds. If it had happened _after_ Reynolds’ homer, though…

Ed
Ed
11 years ago
Reply to  Abbott

Of course he had reason to throw at him. He had already given up two home runs in the inning. Pitchers often throw at hitters other than the one who hit the home run. And as I pointed out the other day, Pirates pitcher Jonathan Sanchez was tossed and suspended under basically the exact same circumstance (except that Sanchez’ action was far less egregious than Parker’s).

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
11 years ago

If former Yankee announcer Mel Allen was broadcasting he would have described it as the length of a White Owl cigar that came between Matt Harvey and 9 perfect innings. 🙂

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago

New cool trick from b-ref is the ability to run a comparison among all pitchers or hitters over the last __ number of days (fill in your own number of days). So for example I can now see that since Matt Harvey debut on July 26 last season he is fourth in the NL in Ks behind Burnett, Kershaw and Cliff Lee. http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/daily.cgi?type=p&dates=lastndays&lastndays=287&since=2013-05-01&fromandto=2013-04-01.2013-04-30&level=mlb-nl&franch=

Doug
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  birtelcom

That is pretty cool.

Just need to add a from this date to that date option and it would be complete.

BTW, since the beginning of the 2012 season, some MLB leaders:
– Edwin Encarnacion, 52 HR
– David Ortiz, .628 SLG, 1.043 OPS
– Miguel Cabrera, 253 Hits, .338 BA, 176 RBI
– Robinson Cano, 100 XBH
– Joey Votto, .468 OBP
– Mike Trout, 149 Runs
– Adam Dunn, 263 SO

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  Doug

The Day-By-Day Database at baseballmusings.com has been been able to do this sort of thing for years, and in some ways remains much more capable (can do the date x to date y thing, and can go back quite a few years). But the b-ref interface, as usual, is extremely friendly.

Doug
Doug
11 years ago
Reply to  birtelcom

Thanks. I’ll check it out.

birtelcom
Editor
11 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Baxter’s two walk-offs in three days came on virtually identical scenarios. First batter of the inning gets on first, next batter sacrifices him over to put the potential game winner on second with one out. Baxter singles the guy on second home each time. You’d think the tactic for the visitors in that scenario is always to not give the batter anything remotely decent to hit. Walking Baxter there puts an essentially meaningless runner on base but puts the DP in order. I ran this scenario (home team batting, ninth inning or extras, tie score, man on second, less than… Read more »