The Heusser Club (“Who?”)

Out of all the retired pitchers in MLB history, there are 2,191 who logged at least 400 innings through age 34.

Of that group, 317 fared so poorly that they had a career WAR value of less than 1.0 WAR through age 34.

With such a poor performance in a reasonably long trial, it’s no surprise that just 21 of them pitched in the majors from age 35 onward. Most of them were finished before they turned 30.

And of those 21 who did pitch at age 35 or older, only one ever had a season worth at least 3.0 WAR.

 

His name was Ed Heusser, nicknamed The Wild Elk of the Wasatch, and his big year was 1944. His MLB career had foundered ever since a promising start with the ’35 Cardinals. But the deprivations of wartime gave him one last shot in the majors, and he seized it: At the age of 35, Heusser led the NL with a 2.38 ERA and 147 ERA+ in his very first qualifying season, good for 3.8 WAR.

Heusser followed up with solid seasons in 1945-46, averaging 195 IP and a 103 ERA+, but the poor caliber of his Reds left him with just an 18-30 record for those years. He lost his last eight decisions in ’46, and that December he was traded to Brooklyn for Augie Galan, the aging on-base machine.

Heusser would never pitch for Brooklyn. He spent 1947 with their top farm club in Montreal, going 19-3 with a 2.73 ERA, ranking 2nd in wins and 5th in ERA as the 3rd-oldest pitcher in the International League. But he didn’t make the big club the next spring and was exposed to waivers. Claimed by the sad-sack Phillies, he wound up his pro career with 74 unimpressive innings of long relief.

But thanks to those three good years with Cincinnati, finished with 7.7 career WAR, giving him the top spot in this group in both career and single-season WAR, each by a hefty margin. By this particular measure, Ed Heusser was the greatest “never-was” pitcher to suddenly find big-league success at an age that made him eligible for the presidency.

And then, along came R.A. Dickey.

Through age 34, Dickey’s career and stats had quite a bit in common with Heusser’s. Each had debuted at 26 and pitched between 430 and 443 innings in the majors, with three different teams. Each had 22 wins, one shutout, a losing record, and a subpar ERA in just over 140 games. Each had ridden a lot of bush-league buses. And neither one figured to be in a big-league rotation as his age-35 season opened.

In ’43, Cincinnati had boasted the most stable rotation in baseball: Four made at least 33 starts and three won at least 15 games; no other team had more than two in either category. But the next year, injury and military service claimed three of the four. Given a spot start in the second week, Heusser blanked the Pirates, and soon joined the rotation. His ERA was under 2 until late July, and he finished at 2.38 to edge teammate Bucky Walters for the NL crown.

Dickey signed with the Mets in 2009, after they’d gone 70-92, with no starter topping 184 IP and just one besting a 92 ERA+. He began the year in AAA, but after 8 starts (2.23 ERA, 8 walks in 61 IP), Dickey made his Mets debut on May 19, 2010, and held Washington to 2 runs over 6 innings in a no-decision. He won his next six starts, becoming the first Met SP in 20 years to win his first six decisions. And the beat went on. On August 13, he tossed a CG one-hitter to best Cole Hamels, 1-0, with his mound rival busting up the no-hitter in the 6th. Dickey finished that year 7th in the NL with a 2.84 ERA in 174 IP, and his 3.4 WAR let him into the exclusive club founded by Ed Heusser in 1944.

In the next two years, Dickey rated 3.1 and 5.6 WAR. The latter mark set the season record for the Heusser Club, and gave Dickey 12.3 career pitching WAR to pass Heusser (8.4) for that leadership.

Whether Dickey was the pitcher most deserving of the NL Cy Young Award that he won in a landslide is arguable, and I won’t take up that argument here. But as great a story as Dickey was, you couldn’t say the voters were blinded by either sentiment or wins. He led the league outright in innings, strikeouts, batters faced, complete games, shutouts, quality starts and QS%. He ranked 2nd in ERA, and 3rd in ERA+, WHIP, SO/BB and WAR (B-R version). Awards aside, it was just a brilliant year — and utterly unprecedented from the standpoint of all previous pitchers who were in Dickey’s boat through age 34.

Meanwhile, the Heusser Club gained another member in 2012: Fernando Rodney, whose previous nine seasons had netted just 0.7 WAR, topped all relievers with 3.7 WAR at age 35, and placed 5th in the AL CYA voting.

Still, I wouldn’t bet on that club growing any bigger in my lifetime. Besides Heusser, only one other pitcher out of the original 317 reached even 2.0 WAR in a season from age 35 onward (the immortal Boom-Boom Beck, another wartime retread who notched 2.1 WAR in 1945), and just two others had any seasons worth at least 1.0 WAR (Russ Springer in 2007-08 and Mark Leiter in ’98).

So, for the sake of Mets fans and everyone who appreciates a tale of baseball redemption, here’s hoping that the saga of Robert Allen Dickey has enough legs to climb a few more mountains. We may not see his like again.

____________________

Here’s a two-part link to the pitchers with 400+ IP through age 34 and less than 1.0 WAR. There are 339 pitchers in this list because I didn’t filter out the retired players initially.

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Doug
Editor
12 years ago

Great post, John. For us folks who aren’t close followers of the Mets, it really was a story of “Where did this guy come from?” (although I see he had 14 starts for the 2008 Mariners, who I do follow, but somehow I just don’t have any memories of that). I see that Dickey also had a career 99 ERA+ before this season. Wonder if that’s a record for the lowest mark for any first time CYA winner (Vida Blue had a 79 career ERA+ before his CYA season, but that was in fewer than 100 IP). Boom-Boom’s 1945 season,… Read more »

e pluribus munu
e pluribus munu
12 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Doug, I checked some obvious potential comps for Boom-Boom’s farewell season, but they didn’t work out, for various reasons: Larry French’s super 180 ERA+ farewell – more or less the mirror image of Boom-Boom’s War record – didn’t translate into as much WAR as some of his less spectacular seasons; Ted Lyons’ (I’d forgotten his rather successful 5-game post-War addendum at age 45) initial farewell at age 41 was his highest WAR other than age 26 – and by far his best ERA+; Koufax’s ’66 WAR of 10 fell just short of ’63’s 10.3.

Great post, John.

Doug
Editor
12 years ago

Despite his modest accomplishments, Boom-Boom is one of a very few pitchers to hang around long enough to face the same batter in seasons separated by 20 or more years. Boom-Boom faced Al Simmons in Beck’s career debut and again 20 years later in Simmons’ career finale.

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
12 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Early Wynn faced Elmer Valo in 1941 and 1961.

Doug
Doug
12 years ago

Richard,

These are the combinations I found in an earlier post on this topic.

http://www.highheatstats.com/2012/04/baseballs-20-year-reunions/#more-2145

Richard Chester
Richard Chester
12 years ago

Doug: My short-term memory seems to be fading. I even posted a comment on that blog that I completely forgot about.

Doug
Doug
12 years ago

Looking at that post again, here’s another one.

Eppa Rixey and Jack Quinn both played in the NL in 1913. Quinn had only 8 games as a September call-up, but at least 3 of those were against the Phils for whom Rixey played in 35 games. The two were Reds teammates in 1933, both playing in this game.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/BRO/BRO193306282.shtml

Doug
Editor
12 years ago
Reply to  Doug

I checked CYA winners for lowest career ERA+ prior to first CYA season. Just checked most likely guys. but it’s probably these:

1. Vida Blue, 79, < 100 IP 2. Mark Davis, 90, 750+ 3. Jim Lonborg, 91, 350+ 4. Denny McLain, 97, 800+ 5. Mike McCormick, 98, 1600+ 6. John Denny/R.A. Dickey, 99 (Denny's 99 includes previously leading the league in ERA+)

Ed
Ed
12 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Steve Stone was at ERA+ of 95, 1400+ IP.

Ed
Ed
12 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Also Tom Glavine. 89 ERA+, 600+ IP.

Doug
Doug
12 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Thanks Ed,

I missed Stone and passed by Glavine thinking there was no need to check him. But, he really hadn’t been very good at all until he “found it” in his 4th full season.

Ed
Ed
12 years ago
Reply to  Doug

One more for you Doug and perhaps the best/worst of them all.

Mike Scott, ERA+ of 84, 800+ IP

Also Vern Law was at an ERA+ of exactly 100 with 1,400+ IP.

Doug
Doug
12 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Scott was another one I skipped past, thinking it wouldn’t be necessary to check. Looks like Scott’s the winner, save for Blue.

One I did check was Eric Gagne – just 101.

Ed
Ed
12 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Yeah Scott was really bad for quite some time. He famously turned his career around by learning a split-finger fastball.

BTW, another interesting exercise is who had the worst season the year before they won the Cy Young?

bstar
12 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Cy Young winners with lowest career ERA+:

Mark Davis – 89
Jim Lonborg – 95
Mike McCormick – 96
Rick Sutcliffe – 97
Steve Stone – 98
Lamarr Hoyt – 99

Doug
Doug
12 years ago
Reply to  Ed

Worst year before winning CYA.

My pick is John Denny, 1982, 6-13, 84 ERA+, 1.41 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 1.36 SO/BB.

At that point (end of 1982), Denny had a 4-year run with similar aggregate numbers, 3 straight non-qualifying seasons (< 162 IP), and had just cleared waivers on a September trade to the Phillies.

Starting the 1983 season, anyone who bet on Denny winning the CYA must have become very rich.

Doug
Editor
12 years ago

I guess this means we can expect a big year from Chad Durbin next season. He’s the one active Heusser club member who will be in his age 35 season in 2013. Actually, he wasn’t too shabby this year – 130 ERA+ with 7.7 H/9, both marks the second best of his career.

bstar
12 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Durbin was indeed very effective for the Braves this year.

The dramatic turn in this post when it’s revealed who the article is really going to be about was very nicely done.

Hartvig
Hartvig
12 years ago

Heusser ended his baseball career on a high note as well, going 19 and 3 with a 2.73 ERA in 1947 at age 38. That Montreal club finished 1/2 a game behind New Jersey in the International League by going 93 and 60 (NJ was 94 and 60 bringing up the question as to why Montreal didn’t make up their final game- maybe there was still gas rationing after WW2?) He was tied for second in the league in wins even though he pitched about 30 fewer innings than anyone else in the top 9 and second in shutouts as… Read more »

Hartvig
Hartvig
12 years ago
Reply to  Hartvig

Opps, should have looked closer at his Major league page. He did spend the following season in the bullpen for the Phillies, pitching mostly with indifferent success.

Kind of a letdown.

Doug
Editor
12 years ago
Reply to  Hartvig

Also on the 1947 Royals was Roy Campanella.

Those Royals were a real powerhouse – won the IL with ease in 1945, 1946 (with Jackie Robinson), and 1948 (with Don Newcombe, Duke Snider and … Chuck Connors). So, they were a half-game away from a four-peat.

Bryan O'Connor
Editor
12 years ago

Well done, John. I voted for Kershaw for the BBA’s Walter Johnson Award, because I believe the best pitcher should win the award every year. That said, Dickey’s is a marvelous story and he’s likely to never be this good again, while Kershaw has a trophy (that arguably should belong to Roy Halladay) and may win more. If there’s ever an excuse to vote for the second-best guy, it’s in this case, where Dickey was reasonably close to as good as Kershaw and practically everyone who doesn’t bleed Dodger blue is at least a little excited to see him get… Read more »