Monday game notes (expanded big gulp edition)

Now with infinitely more Shanty Hogan mentions!

Astros 3, @Cubs 0: Houston’s last back-to-back shutouts of 4 hits or less came 2 years ago. Their

last-but-one came in brighter days, a fun streak with a memorable capper.

  • Lucas Harrell finished the 2nd half with a 2.87 ERA in 15 starts.

Phillies 2, @Nationals 0: The Phils clinched a 10th straight year without a losing a record, matching the franchise record set from 1975-84.

  • Darin Ruf drove in the game’s only runs with his first big-league triple, and the next time up was honored with his first IBB (and not in front of the pitcher). Ruf is hitting .333/.937 in his 10 games so far. He spent most of the year at AA Reading, nearly lapping the Eastern League with 38 HRs (next was 21), also tops with 303 total bases (237) and a 1.028 OPS. He was a 20th-round pick out of college in 2009, and they’ve moved him up at a very deliberate pace, but he’s hit at every stop, and the power blew up this summer.

Tigers 6, @Royals 3: In modern MLB history, only 47 catchers have attained 400+ PAs through age 22. The leaders in OPS+: (1) Brian McCann, 129; (2) Johnny Bench, 125; (3) Salvador Perez, 122; (4) Shanty Hogan, 120. (Because you just can’t mention Shanty Hogan too often.)

  • Perez also leads the AL in CS% at 42%. He’s allowed 25 SB in 73 starts; other KC catchers have surrendered 84 SB in 87 starts, while throwing out just 28%.
  • Alex Gordon has 6.1 WAR this year after 7.1 last year. Two years ago, what were the odds of him being anywhere near this productive? I looked at it two ways: (1) Gordon is the 84th modern player with 5+ WAR at ages 27 and 28. Of that group, only the classically mishandled Edgar Martinez had less career WAR through age 26 than Gordon’s 3.8, and all but Edgar and Alex had at least one 3-WAR season before their breakout. (2) Through 26, Gordon had 1,642 PAs and a 95 OPS+. So I looked at the 187 modern players through age 26 with 1,500+ PAs and an OPS+ from 90 to 99. For ages 27 and 28 combined, only 2 of them topped Gordon’s 131 OPS+: Brooks Robinson (135) and Bob Bailey (134). Besides Gordon, only 21 of 186 had even one qualifying year at 120+, and only Brooksie and Chief Wilson had two such years.
  • The Royals don’t have any problems that wouldn’t be solved by instantly acquiring 3 or 4 decent starting pitchers (well, that and benching Frenchy). But I have a sinking feeling that their first move will be signing Lucky Lohse.

Angels 8, @Mariners 4Felix Hernandez is 6-12, 4.07, in 30 career starts against the Halos. Mike Trout is 9 for 17 off Felix this year, with a HR and 7 RBI.

@Dodgers 3, Giants 2Buster Posey‘s 171 OPS+ would be the 3rd-best ever for a qualified catcher. Mike Piazza holds the top 2 marks (185, 172), and Joe Mauer also had a 171. He’s also the 3rd Giants catcher ever with 100+ RBI.

____________________

ORIGINAL POST

Too much to watch; not enough time to write about it.

@A’s 4, Rangers 3: Grant Balfour blew down the side, and Oakland clinched the final playoff berth. The Rays and Angels are out, though each may finish with 90+ wins. The West is still wide open; the A’s can take the crown with two more wins at home. Scheduled for Tuesday, Harrison @ Blackley.

@Yankees 10, Red Sox 2 / @Rays 5, Orioles 3Things to pack for a trip to the top: Eight sharp from CC — check. Massive demonstration of power, including Teix‘s first in 6 weeks — check. Help from the backs-to-the-wall Rays — check. New York grabs a 1-game lead … but they and/or the Rangers — the teams most widely considered the class of the AL — could still wind up in the do-or-die game.

Tigers 6, @Royals 3: Back in game #146, Detroit blew a pair of leads and lost their final contest with Chicago to fall 3 games out with 16 left. Fourteen games and 10 wins later — with the help of a soft schedule and the 4-10 collapse of the ChiSox — the Tigers clinched a 2nd straight playoff berth for the first time since 1935. And on the far-off chance that this is your only baseball news outlet, we’ll note that Miguel Cabrera‘s 4 hits and 44th HR moved him closer to the … oh, you know.

  • Billy Butler‘s double ended Al Alburquerque‘s no-extra-base-hit streak at 38 games, 42.2 IP and 176 batters. It’s the longest no-XBH streak by innings since 1990, when Larry Andersen went 45.1 IP over 29 games from July into September, including most of his famous tenure with Boston after they traded Jeff Bagwell to get him. (Obviously I don’t mean to defend the Bagwell-Andersen trade, but I think it’s a shame that Andersen is remembered now mainly for Boston’s mistake. He was outstanding that year — particularly with Boston, 3 R in 22 IP — and in several others; in fact, WAR rates him 6th among RPs in 1989-90 combined, just ahead of Dennis Eckersley.)
  • “What-if?” Triple Crown controversy: In 1967, Carl Yastrzemski actually tied for the HR lead with Harmon Killebrew. They faced off in Fenway on the final weekend — with the pennant on the line, but never mind that — each connecting on Saturday but not on Sunday. In that final game, Killebrew’s last AB came in the 8th, after Yaz’s last, with Boston up by 3; a home run would not have created another Yaz AB, and thus would have denied Yaz the Triple Crown. The point is: Had that happened, we might today still be arguing about the fact that Killebrew had the benefit of two extra games — tie gamesin which he hit 3 HRs.

@Pirates 2, Braves 1: Starling Marte homered and doubled, Atlanta’s bats took a night off, and the Nats “backed into” the division crown; they’re not crying about it.

@Cards 4, Reds 2 / @Dodgers 3, Giants 2: St. Louis finished early and kept the pressure on, but LA was able to walk it off and stay alive. Only two Dodger wins and two Cardinal losses will keep the Redbirds from clinching their 9th postseason appearance since 2000. Scheduled for Tuesday: Zito @ Capuano, Latos @ Carpenter.

@White Sox 11, Indians 0: It didn’t save their season, but Chicago’s Hector Santiago was brilliant under pressure. In just his 4th big-league start, Santiago fanned 10 in 7 IP and allowed but a single, a walk and a HBP, throwing 78 strikes and just 30 balls, and going the first 5 with no run support.

 ____________________

Meaningless stuff:

Mets @Marlins: In his first start, Mets rookie Jeurys Familia issued 6 walks in 4 IP, but allowed just 1 hit and no runs. The 1st inning went walk, CS, single, CS, walk, SO. He walked another in the 2nd, two in the 3rd and one in the 4th, and departed after notching his 3rd K with his 75th pitch and 33rd strike. It’s the 19th scoreless start by a Met with 6+ walks; the club record is 8, in 6 IP, by Nolan Ryan (of course).

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Jacob
Jacob
12 years ago

At this point, I really want to see Cabrera win the MVP, so I can watch in amazement how Keith Law’s head implodes over the fact that American baseball writers – writers! – are not using science to determine the Most Valuable Player, but instead pick the well-liked, superb hitting 3B, who’s been constantly good for 10 years, who just led his team from behind to claim the division and is the first in 45 years to lead his league in the Triple Crown counting stats that nearly all baseball fans still have a soft spot for.

Bill Johnson
Bill Johnson
12 years ago
Reply to  Jacob

If he wins the TC, I think he will win the MVP and he would deserve it (Trout is also deserving). Doesn’t Maur also still have a chance with a big finish to win the batting title?

I was sort of assuming that Miggy sits tonight but plays Wed, when Scherzer is scheduled- though I have not heard one way or the other.

Ed
Ed
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Trout has his work cut out for him. He’s 1-17 in his career against Iwakuma and Beavan, the two pitchers he’ll face tonight and tomorrow. Mauer has almost no track record against his two pitchers. He’s never faced Jenkins and he’s 1-2 against Morrow. Cabrera, on the other hand, has a very good track record against his two pitchers. He’s 7-23 against Guthrie (2 HRs) and 4-11 against Mendoza (1 HR).

Lawrence Azrin
Lawrence Azrin
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Someone not too long ago had a very blunt but accurate comment, concerning when baseball writers would start using the more advanced stats as opposed to the traditional(Triple-crown plus a few others) stats to evaluate players:

“When the older writers start dying out”.

This is probably true in many other fields; the newer ways of doing things often take hold only when The Establishment is no longer around.

Ed
Ed
12 years ago
Reply to  Lawrence Azrin

John – And here’s the complement to Olney’s article. A piece from Sean Foreman detailing that not a single baseball writer has contacted him to learn more about WAR and how it’s computed. Sadly, too many of those guys live in a bubble of their own creation.

http://www.sports-reference.com/blog/2012/09/how-many-baseball-writers-have-called-or-e-mailed-to-talk-to-me-about-what-goes-into-war-zero/

birtelcom
Editor
12 years ago
Reply to  Lawrence Azrin

It’s unfortunate actually that the Trout/Cabrera debate is playing out as a sabermetrics vs. anti-sabermetrics dispute. It seems to me it is more about other things: 1. All-around performance (hitting, speed and defense) vs. hitting. 2. A kind of Pavlovian automatic response to one factor (the Triple Crown, admittedly a rare and impressive accomplishment) vs. thinking about who happens to be the most valuable in this league this year 3. Recognition for a long, impressive career at its peak vs. the new kid on the block 4. A player whose team made the playoffs vs. a player whose team did… Read more »

bstar
12 years ago
Reply to  Lawrence Azrin

I might slightly disagree that it’s unfortunate that this has become a sabermetrics vs. old school debate. I think a lot of people who didn’t even know what WAR was now at least are aware the stat exists, and that’s a small first step on the path to understanding it. I would also think a small percentage of those who knew about WAR but never looked at it closely may have taken a deeper look as the MVP debate heated up, which I also think is a good thing. You could argue that the attention sabermetrics is getting is bad,… Read more »

tag
tag
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

I don’t know, I won’t get too bummed out if Miggy wins the MVP. Jeez, of all the things to worry about. It’s not like someone really undeserving is getting it.

Jim Bouldin
12 years ago
Reply to  tag

There does seem to be a degree of obsession around here regarding personal awards here that I don’t quite understand.

Dan McCloskey
12 years ago

I find it quite interesting that the 7th best team in the AL is the first to clinch their division.

Dan McCloskey
Editor
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

I see what you did there. 🙂 I was talking about W-L records, but you’re referring to run differential. Actually, Detroit is 7th best by run differential too. So, yeah, subjectively speaking, the Orioles are probably the 8th best team in the AL, but they did win all the games they won, so I don’t have a problem with their standing. Honestly, I don’t have a problem with the Tigers making the playoffs over the Angels and Rays either, just as long as people are willing to acknowledge they’re a little lucky by virtue of playing in a division that’s… Read more »

Jim Bouldin
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

One more comment like that Mr. Autin and I’m going to re-enforce the terms of our bet.

bstar
12 years ago

Miggy’s BA sits at .3291 this morning while Trout is at .3247. I ran some possible permutations: If Cabrera goes 3 for 9 in his last two games, Trout needs 6 hits in 9 AB to pass Miggy. If Cabrera goes 2 for 9, Trout needs 5 hits in 9 AB to win. If Miggy goes 4 for 9, Trout must go 7 for 9. See the pattern emerging? Miguel Cabrera is effectively 3 hits ahead of Trout in BA. Assuming the same number of at-bats in the last two games (yes that’s a leap), Trout must get 3 more… Read more »

RJ
RJ
12 years ago

Excuse my lack of baseball history knowledge, but what were those extra games about in 1967? Why were they extra and why did they end in ties?

Brooklyn Mick
Brooklyn Mick
12 years ago
Reply to  RJ

RJ, the standings show that the Twins finished 91-71, but in reality they played 164 games. June 21, 1967 ended in a 5-5 tie with the Tigers in Detroit, and July 25, 1967 ended in a 1-1 tie with the Yankees in New York. Both games went 9 innings. I’m not sure why the games ended in ties. Perhaps our fellow brethren can shed some insight as to why the games were called.

Incidentally, in the tie against Detroit, the Tigers never batted in the last half of the 9th. Rain? Hail? Riots?

Evil Squirrel
12 years ago
Reply to  RJ

Rained out games ending in ties after the 5th inning were counted as such and played over in their entirety at a later date until MLB changed the rule prior to, I believe, the 2007 season (All such games are now considered suspended and resumed from where they left off at a later date). The stats from these tie games count.

There are several players, including Ron Santo and Billy Williams, who played in 164 games in a season without the benefit of any end of season tiebreaker games….

bstar
12 years ago
Reply to  Evil Squirrel

Good call on Billy Williams. He is the career leader for most seasons with 163 or more games played with 3. Pete Rose was second with 2 seasons.

The only man to post a 165 game season in MLB history is Maury Wills in 1962 with the Dodgers.

Phil Gaskill
Phil Gaskill
12 years ago
Reply to  bstar

And that, certainly, was the result of the 3-game tied-for-first playoff with the Giants, not because of any rainout ties.

Lawrence Azrin
Lawrence Azrin
12 years ago
Reply to  bstar

No one asked, but Jimmy Barrett, CFer for the 1904 Tigers, holds the pre-162 game schedule for games played, with… 162.

He also led the AL in PA (714) and walks (79).

Voomo Zanzibar
Voomo Zanzibar
12 years ago
Reply to  Lawrence Azrin

What? How?
_______________________

The Tigers set a season record with 10 tie games, eight of which were replayed.

topper009
topper009
12 years ago
Reply to  bstar

On June 10, the second game of a doubleheader it looks like Wills got into the game in a pretty odd way. He didnt start and entered the game as part of a doubleswitch in the middle of the bottom of the 9th, with 1 out. The Dodgers were leading the Peacekeepers 9-5, the inning went double, walk, infield single, forceout at 2nd. You have 1 out, runners on first and third and a new catcher enters the game replacing the SS and Wills enters the game replacing the catcher? Wills plays for 2 more outs eventually sets the record… Read more »

topper009
topper009
12 years ago
Reply to  topper009
RJ
RJ
12 years ago
Reply to  Evil Squirrel

Cheers for the responses everyone.

Brooklyn Mick
Brooklyn Mick
12 years ago
Reply to  RJ

Yup, both games were called due to rain. In the Detroit game Rod Carew led off the home half of the 9th with a single, then got thrown out trying to steal 2nd. The game was then called. In the New York game play was halted after 9 full innings.

brp
brp
12 years ago

The Cubs find another way to disappoint their fans by losing their 100th game. Even in a year when nothing was expected they came tantalizingly close to avoiding that mark of shame. Wait till next century…

Brooklyn Mick
Brooklyn Mick
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

He crushed it! It looked like the only time he was going full tilt was from halfway to 2nd to halfway to 3rd, and he still made it easily. He is quite the athletic stud.

Dan McCloskey
Editor
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Another interesting aspect is, rather than try to throw Trout out at third, the relay man threw to the plate to try to get the runner who was scoring from first. The runner was Maicer Izturis, I think, who’s not exactly slow.

Also, that was four hits, all off of Felix Hernandez.

birtelcom
Editor
12 years ago
Reply to  Dan McCloskey

I’ve found just two other hitters with 4 hits in a game off of Felix: Curtis Granderson, Sept 9, 2007; Marco Scutaro July 27, 2009.

Hartvig
Hartvig
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

I saw none other than good old Milton Cuyler hit a stand-up triple at a game at Tiger Stadium years ago. I swear that watching it from my seat in the upper deck it look like someone had hit the fast-forward button on the VCR. Unfortunately with a bat in his hand he was a lot closer to Milton Friedman than he was to Kiki Cuyler.

Timmy Pea
Timmy Pea
12 years ago
Reply to  Hartvig

Milton Friedman reference, hehe! Maybe it’s where I live and that I don’t watch TV, but it seems to me there is more talk about Bryce Harper than there is for Trout. Nothing against Harper, but Trout is a once in a century talent.

Lawrence Azrin
Lawrence Azrin
12 years ago
Reply to  Timmy Pea

Timmy,

See how much Mike Trout improved from his age-19 to his age-20 seasons. Now – imagine that Bruce Harper improves that much next year at age 20, from his already impressive age-19 season this year.

Harper wouldn’t merely be a serious MVP contender; he’d have one of the greatest seasons ever. THAT is why people are so excited about Harper.

tag
tag
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

No overreaction. He’s got the giddyup of an NFL defensive back, and like them is both quick and fast.

Abbott
Abbott
12 years ago

AL West standings, 6/1 (I’m including the Astros as a preview for next year):
Rangers 31-21
Angels 27-26
Mariners 23-31
Astros 22-30
A’s 22-30

Standings since then:
A’s 70-38
Angels 62-45
Rangers 62-46
Mariners 50-56
Astros 32-76

Hartvig
Hartvig
12 years ago

With any luck the Tigers will draw the Orioles in the first round and should have Verlander, Smyly & Sanchez ready to go so they may have a chance here. I’m not going to get my hopes up too much but after the last 3 weeks it feels nice to think there’s at least a chance for them to get even for 2006.

Larry
Larry
12 years ago

Topper009, Thanks for the memories. My dad took me to that doubleheader, which lives in infamy in Houston baseball history. It was a Sunday afternoon DH … at roofless/shadowless old Colt Stadium. It must have hit 95 degrees with the typical 90 per cent humidity. Ambulance sirens were going off all afternoon. My most distinct memory was seeing two Dominican nuns in the classic black veil and total body habit sitting down by the backstop toward the third base (Colt .45) side. I am sure neither one had to spend a millisecond in purgatory, having paid more than a fair… Read more »

topper009
topper009
12 years ago
Reply to  Larry

Nice little anecdote. That may explain why Wills didn’t start both games if it was a steamy afternoon. Any memory on why the Dodgers changed catcher and shortstop in the middle of the inning?

Larry
Larry
12 years ago

Edited to add – those were the games that caused MLB to grant Houston permission to play Sunday night baseball. Which leads to this trivia question. Which svelte pitcher holds the distinction of being the winning pitcher in the first Sunday night game?

Timmy Pea
Timmy Pea
12 years ago
Reply to  Larry

Was it Terry Forster?

Timmy Pea
Timmy Pea
12 years ago
Reply to  Timmy Pea

No, maybe Fernando V.?

Timmy Pea
Timmy Pea
12 years ago
Reply to  Timmy Pea

When you say Sunday night game, do you mean Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN? Or the first Sunday a night game was played. I don’t think Babe Ruth ever pitched on a Sunday night. David Wells, Sid Fernandez? Sid was awesome but a little obese.

Mike L
Mike L
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Kevin Mench in 2006 and before that, Thome in 2002.

topper009
topper009
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Yankees tie it up in the 9th. boooooo

topper009
topper009
12 years ago
Reply to  topper009

I saw that Tex had 2 GIDPs and the Os could you a 3rd from him with the bases loaded in the 9th and it got me wondering if anyone has ever worn a golden GIDP sombrero, and it has happened exactly once in the searchable era, by one Joe Torre in this game

topper009
topper009
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Right now there are 3 games tied at 3-3 in extra innings…

And clicking around in that Torre 4 GIDP game I started looking through Dave Kingman’s stats and I noticed he led NL in HRs in 1982 and did not receive a single MVP vote, surely the only instance of this?

Evan
Evan
12 years ago
Reply to  topper009

Troy Glaus did it in the AL in 2000.

Evan
Evan
12 years ago
Reply to  topper009

Carlos Pena tied for the AL lead in HR in 2009 with no votes as well.

topper009
topper009
12 years ago
Reply to  topper009

I guess I spoke too soon, there must others

Larry
Larry
12 years ago

The “svelte” pitcher who won the first Sunday night game in MLB history was Hal “Skinny” Brown.

Sorry, I don’t recall the double switch for catcher/SS. Maybe the catcher was ready to pass out 🙂

bstar
12 years ago

After giving up a lead-off single, Craig Kimbrel blew away the last three Pirates to push his K% over the fifty percent mark. The old record was just over 44% by Eric Gagne in 2003. Kimbrel finished at 50.2%, fanning greater than every other batter he faced this year. Kimbrel also set several other records this year which I will detail later on tonight. Why? Because Kimbrel’s not going to win the Cy Young (nor should he), but when you set as many records as he’s set this year, he deserves some kind of award and all the attention he… Read more »

bstar
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Geez, John, were your last two paragraphs even necessary? Are you actually suggesting if he’d had a more historic save rate and an ERA under 1 then he would be having a Cy Young year? I hope not. I specifically said he WASN’T deserving of the Cy Young, so I’m a little confused about any attempt to devalue his season. Saves, really? I haven’t mentioned saves all year because of their relative meaninglessness (I hope that’s a word). I’m confused/startled also about how you can even mention ERA when Kimbrel put a 1.01 mark up on the board, the eighth… Read more »

bstar
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Things were well before you commented, no worries and thanks for the reply.

And yes, you have commented on Kimbrel’s doings more than once.

I guess I’ve begun to simmer a bit over the lack of any article on this site about Kimbrel’s season, Kris Medlen morphing into the best pitcher in baseball, or Chipper Jones’ final season. Nary a word has been written about any of these outside of Game Notes, and I’m becoming increasingly disillusioned as to why.

I never intended to become a Braves shill on this site; I’ve been forced into it.

bstar
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

RE: Lucas Duda

And the home run Duda hit off of Huddy on Friday night was a spike thru my and the Braves’ head and probably the last shovel of dirt thrown on Atlanta’s quest for an unlikely late NL East title grab.

Larry
Larry
12 years ago

Topper,
http://www.astrosdaily.com/history/1962/game196206102.html

This is the retrosheet from that game. It says Dodger catcher Sherry was injured on a foul ball. Roseboro – who had caught the first game in 95 degree heat was brought in. Maury Wills came in as a double switch. I imagine he would have led off the top of the tenth if the .45s completed their comeback to tie it. Roseboro may have been too pooped to pop.

Larry
Larry
12 years ago

@ Timmy Pea http://www.todayinbaseball.com/cms/06096312-nightgame The first Sunday night game in MLB history was played June 9, 1963. The Colt .45s beat the Giants 3-0. The winning pitcher was Hal “Skinny” Brown. There was a time when Sunday baseball was not permitted in some cities. I believe Boston had a ruse where they sold color coded programs instead of tickets but that was smelled out and crushed. That was back in the early 1900’s or late 1890’s. A remnant of this blue law persisted until 6-9-1963 when MLB allowed Houston to play on Sunday nights because it was so hot –… Read more »

Timmy Pea
Timmy Pea
12 years ago
Reply to  Larry

Skinny Brown! That’s awesome, thanks Larry. I don’t know how those good folks in Texas put up with the heat down there.

Larry
Larry
12 years ago

John, thank you. I am honored, indeed!