Wednesday game notes

@Rays 5, Royals 3 / @White Sox 2, Yankees 1: I went to a coronation, and a pennant race broke out! Tampa’s surge has shaved New York’s division lead to 3 games.

Tampa went 1 for 13 with RISP, leaving ducks on the pond in each of the first 7 innings. But they had the game’s only HR, and twice scored a man from 1st on a double.

  • Fernando Rodney retired the side in order for his 39th save, trimming his ERA to 0.77 in 58.2 IP. There’s been just one season in modern history with 60+ IP and an ERA below 0.90. Rodney, with a prior career ratio of 1.69 SO/BB, has 57 SO and just 10 walks this year.
  • When you’re going this well, even pinch-running seems to work like a charm.
  • The afternoon crowd of just under 12,000 was the largest of the 3-game set. Tampa’s average of 20,104 is last in the majors. But consider how attendance expectations have changed: that same average would have been 2nd in MLB every year from 1952-57, and it topped the Yankees’ average for every season from 1962-75. As recently as the 2000 season, eight other teams averaged under 20,000.

In his first start against the Bombers, Chris Sale racked up 13 Ks (only Verlander has more this century), tied his career-best 81 Game Score, and earned his 15th win. Alex Rios answered Derek Jeter‘s game-tying HR in the 6th with his 20th in the bottom half. Besides the Captain’s HR, the Yankees had 2 doubles, a single and a walk, and never advanced a baserunner.

  • Phil Hughes pitched well, but the Rios HR was the 29th he’s allowed in 149.2 IP. His rate of 1.74 HR/9 would be the 2nd-highest ever by a qualified Yankee, trailing only Terry Mulholland‘s 1.79 from 1994.
  • Derek Jeter set a personal best by homering in his 3rd straight game. He’s hitting .330 with RISP, but 11 of his 13 HRs have been solo shots.
  • Sale is 15-4, .789. The only qualified White Sox with a better W% were swingman Sandy Consuegra, 1954 (16-3, .842 in exactly 154 IP, also led the league in ERA+) and Eddie Cicotte‘s famous 1919 season (29-7, .806)
  • The 23-year-old Sale has 152 IP, more than double his prior high as a pro. Time to shut him down, no?
  • The last time the Yanks were swept in Chicago in a series of 3 or more was 1991.

Giants 8, @Dodgers 4Chris Capuano had a 2.17 ERA at home. San Francisco was 26-13 vs. lefty starters. Something had to give, so LA played the gracious hosts and the Giants completed the sweep, moving 2.5 games up in the division race. Joaquin Arias powered the offense with career highs of 5 RBI and 3 extra-base hits. Leadoff man Angel Pagan led off 5 innings, reached base thrice and scored each time. Matt Cain walked none and allowed 1 run for the 2nd straight game.

@Rangers 12, Orioles 3: One of those hot nights in Arlington. Adrian Beltre put Texas up with HRs in the 2nd and 4th, then went deep again in the 4th to cap a 9-run eruption. Beltre’s first 3-HR game gave him 332 dingers, tied for 9th among third basemen along with Aramis Ramirez. Baltimore’s loss dropped them a half-game behind Oakland for the 2nd wild card.

  • With his first grand slam and a sac fly, Mitch Moreland became the first #9 hitter with 5 RBI since last April.
  • Three HRs in 3 IP for Tommy Hunter, who faced 8 men in the 4th and retired none. With 32 HRs in 121 IP, Hunter’s 2.38 HR/9 would be the highest ever with 120+ IP. It also raised his career rate to 1.62 HR/9, 5th-highest ever with at least 75 starts.

Braves 5, @Nationals 1: Coming off his first shutout, Kris Medlen delivered a much-needed encore for 7 innings at a time when Atlanta runs had suddenly become rare as hens’ teeth. They tallied just twice before an error-aided splurge in the 9th. Atlanta salvaged the series finale, but with a 6-game deficit and only 3 more against Washington, they face long odds to avoid the WC do-or-die game.

  • Pitchers batting against Ross Detwiler were 1 for 32 with 1 walk and 18 Ks. But Medlen drew a 4-pitch walk with 2 out and a man on in the 5th, setting up Martin Prado‘s 2-run double that broke a scoreless tie. Medlen has just 7 hits in 57 career ABs, but he’s accepted 6 walks.
  • Michael Bourn‘s 9th-inning trip around the bases: RBI single, wild pitch, steal & overthrow. His 84th run gave him the #2 spot in the NL.
  • Medlen has allowed 3 runs in his 5 starts, and for the year he has a 1.86 ERA in 87 IP. The only live-ball Brave with 100+ IP and an ERA that low was Greg Maddux, 1994-95 (1.56, 1.63).

@Cardinals 4, Astros 2: With “SD 4, PIT 2” going on the board early, Kyle Lohse buckled down after a couple of solo HRs and allowed just one more safety in his 7 low-key innings. Jon Jay tied it with a single in the 5th, taking 2nd on the throw and 3rd on a groundout, and scored the decisive run on a wild pitch.

  • Lohse is now 13-2 record, but with 8 QS/NDs. Not cheapies, either; a total of 10 runs allowed (9 ER) in 53 IP in those 8 games, but the Cards totaled just 18 runs. What would the CYA race look like if Lohse were, say, 18-2?

@Padres 4, Pirates 2: A winning debut for Andrew Werner, the undrafted free agent who apprenticed with the Frontier League’s Evansville Otters and Windy City ThunderBolts before latching on with San Diego through a try-out camp. He seems to be the first player out of the 2010 Frontier League to reach the majors. Pittsburgh is 8-13 in August and has slipped a half-game behind St. Louis in the battle for WC#2, with the Dodgers another half-game back.

  • Wait — Garrett Jones made which out, at what base, while trailing by 2 runs? Pressing, people!
  • James McDonald had an 0.97 WHIP at the Break, but 1.86 since then. As someone once told me, “It’s a game of regression to the mean.”

@Tigers 3, Blue Jays 2: After losing a wild-card showdown with the Orioles, Detroit welcomed these birds of a different feather, who’ve now lost 18 of 23. The decisive run came in the 6th on Prince Fielder‘s single, after southpaw Aaron Laffey intentionally passed Miguel Cabrera. Following Cabrera’s 12 IBBs this year, Fielder has produced 5 RBI singles, a sac fly, 2 walks (1 intentional) and 4 outs, with 1 DP.  So far, so good, sayeth Mike Ilitch….

  • Detroit’s average attendance of just under 38,000 is 2nd in franchise history.

@Brewers 3, Cubs 2: The reigning MVP homered, tripled and doubled, and now leads the NL in HRs, RBI, Slugging, Total Bases, Extra-Base Hits, and just for fun, LF Range Factor. (What was his name again?)

  • Yovani Gallardo has won 5 straight starts, going 7+ on 3 runs or less each time. He’s working on his 4th straight year averaging 9 SO/9 or better; there are just 2 others in Brewers history.
  • Can you name the four different Brewers who’ve previously led the league in Total Bases? (Answers here.)
  • Travis Wood lost his 7th straight decision over 8 starts.
  • Through May 15, Bryan LaHair had 10 HRs and a 1.175 OPS. His HR Wednesday was his 15th and his first since July 4, snapping a 31-game drought in which he went 11 for 77 with 32 Ks. Yet he still has a higher OPS+ than the heralded Anthony Rizzo, who has found his own funk lately, no HRs and 4 RBI in his last 17 games. It’s a looooong season.
  • Chicago completed a 1-6 road trip, after going 0-6 on their last excursion. They’re 30-28 at home, but 17-48 outside the Friendly Confines.

@Diamondbacks 3, Marlins 2 (1st game): Five weeks after his 21st birthday, Tyler Skaggs earned a win in his MLB debut. Skaggs struck out his first batter on 3 pitches, struck out the side in the 5th, and worked around 5 walks to last 6.2 IP, the 2nd-longest debut in Arizona history. Before the call-up, he was the youngest pitcher in the PCL (2.91 ERA in 9 starts), and before that, the 3rd-youngest pitcher in the Southern League (2.84 in 13 starts).

  • Jacob Turner notched his first QS in his NL debut (7th career start), didn’t walk a man and fanned 5. But he couldn’t solve Aaron Hill, who drove in all 3 runs with go-ahead hits in the 1st and 3rd, including his 18th HR.
  • Justin Ruggiano (.328/1.004 in 215 PAs) would be the 2nd Marlin ever with a 1.000 OPS in 200+ PAs. Gary Sheffield did it in 1995-96.
  • Who knew? Arizona has the best Pythagorean record in the NL West, and they’re 13-8 against the Dodgers & Giants combined. Nine of their last 27 games are against San Francisco.

@Diamondbacks 3, Marins 0 (2nd game): In what may have been the first all-Wade matchup, the All-Star rookie Wade Miley unspooled a personal-best 8 scoreless innings with a walk and 5 Ks, as the Snakes captured the twinbill.

  • Miley is 14-8, 2.80 in 151 IP, with a 154 ERA+. The last qualified rookie with an ERA+ of at least 150 was Brandon Webb, 2003.
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Brooklyn Mick
Brooklyn Mick
12 years ago

Sandy Consuegra’s 1954 season was truly remarkable. He started 19 games, came on in relief in 22, had 3 CG’s (2 of them SHO’s) and 3 saves, and as was mentioned, he led the league in ERA+. My how the game has changed.

Brooklyn Mick
Brooklyn Mick
12 years ago
Reply to  John Autin

Yes John. Did you notice that Consuegra’s WAR in 1954 was only 2.4 and May’s 1980 was 4.7? Hmmm.

bstar
12 years ago
Reply to  Brooklyn Mick

Brooklyn, if you look at the details that B-Ref provides on how WAR is calculated, you can get a pretty good idea of a few factors that made May’s season more valuable than Consuegra’s. -May’s ERA+ is 160 while Consuegra’s is 140, and ERA+ is the main component of pitcher rWAR -Consuegra had a great defense behind him, while May’s was slightly below average. In the “Player Value” section of a pitcher’s stats, this is reflected in RA9def, which is a measurement of how many runs/9 your defense is saving/costing you. A positive total means a good defense, a negative… Read more »

Brooklyn Mick
Brooklyn Mick
12 years ago
Reply to  bstar

Thank you bstar. I guess when I first looked at the comparative WAR’s my initial reaction was that 4.7 is nearly twice as much as 2.4, and inferred that to mean that Mays was twice as valuable to the Yankees in 1980 as compared to Consuegra was to the White Sox in 1954. Is that a “bad” way to interpret WAR? Just for fun, let’s look at Yastrzemski and Killebrew in 1967. Yaz had 12.0 WAR and Killer had 6.0. Would it be unfair to sat that Yaz was twice as valuable to the Red Sox that as opposed to… Read more »

bstar
12 years ago
Reply to  bstar

I’m certainly not qualified enough to tell you how to interpret WAR, but I would answer “yes” to your questions about 12 WAR being twice as good as 6 WAR-I think a lot of the fun of WAR is you CAN take it that literally if you wish. You certainly picked a doozie of a season. After the recent WAR re-calculations at B-Ref, Yaz’ ’67 Triple Crown year is tied for the fourth best season ever according to WAR by a position player in the game searchable era: 1. Babe Ruth 1923 13.7 WAR 2. Babe Ruth 1921 12.6 3.… Read more »

Brooklyn Mick
Brooklyn Mick
12 years ago
Reply to  bstar

Thank bstar @16…fun discussion, and I agree, WAR can be fun.

Brooklyn Mick
Brooklyn Mick
12 years ago
Reply to  Brooklyn Mick

Consuegra’s 1954 was similar to Rudy May’s 1980 season with the Yankees, when May was 15-5, led the league in ERA with 2.46 and ERA+ with 160 in 17 starts and 24 relief appearances. Also had 3 CG’s, 1 SHO, and 3 saves.

RJ
RJ
12 years ago

Three of those Giants losses to Arizona were in the opening series of the season. Each game was lost by one run and characterised by sub-par performances from SF’s starting pitchers (14 ER in 15.1 IP combined) and the infield throwing the ball all over the place. Since then everyone seems to have got their act together: SF is otherwise 4-2 against the D’backs.

Doug
Editor
12 years ago

Rodney is also AL leader in WHIP (min. 50 IP) with a mark of 0.784. NL leader is Chapman at 0.726. Here are the top 10 seasons. Chapman notwithstanding, WHIP seems to be an “old guy’s” stat. Rk Player WHIP IP Year Age Tm Lg 1 Dennis Eckersley 0.607 57.2 1989 34 OAK AL 2 Dennis Eckersley 0.614 73.1 1990 35 OAK AL 3 Mariano Rivera 0.665 70.2 2008 38 NYY AL 4 Joaquin Benoit 0.680 60.1 2010 32 TBR AL 5 Eric Gagne 0.692 82.1 2003 27 LAD NL 6 J.J. Putz 0.698 71.2 2007 30 SEA AL 7… Read more »

MikeD
MikeD
12 years ago
Reply to  Doug

Interesting, although not surprising, that all are recent from a baseball historical perspective. (I’m old enough to consider 1989 recent.) Also interesting as well as very fitting and proper that the name sitting atop the list at slots one and two is the man who redefined the closer’s role into mostly one-inning affairs, giving birth to the names and low-WHIP totals of the pitchers below him.

Doug
Editor
12 years ago
Reply to  MikeD

And nobody’s come close to doing it as well as the original – at least in terms of keeping runners off base. Eckersley’s second best season is .051 W+H per inning better than Mariano (fittingly) at #3, more than 3 times the biggest gap between any other other placements on the list.

Hartvig
Hartvig
12 years ago

Great stuff as always John, but you should put a warning somewhere if you’re going to talk about what a great season Rodney is having after the semi-meltdown the Tigers bullpen underwent earlier this year.

Fortunately they did the job yesterday or my walls would have a few more dents in them from me pounding my head.

Doug
Doug
12 years ago

The back-to-back courtesy passes to Miggy and Prince that John referenced came on Aug 5 against Cleveland. Predictably, the situation was bottom of 9th, scored tied, runner on 3rd, 1 out, so the strategy clearly made sense. Next batter went GIDP to send the game to the 10th where, in the home half, with the score tied, two out, and runner on first, the Indians pitch to Miggy who homers for the win. The book says never put the winning run in scoring position. So, that’s why the IBB was eschewed the second time. But, if you have just one… Read more »

Evil Squirrel
12 years ago

Hooray for the recaps! One note, however, on attendance figures. The NL only began counting all tickets sold as the official attendance from 1993 onwards… meaning for all years prior to ’93, the attendance figures for NL games represents how many paying fans actually went through the turnstiles. I’m not sure about the AL, but it looks like they may have always used “paid attendance”. (Baseball nerd alert: I noticed this on my own long before I learned of it on the internet because since I began going to Cardinals games in the late 80’s, I always enjoyed trying to… Read more »

kzuke
kzuke
12 years ago