The Mets have had more than their share of complete game 1-hitters

Some quick math, 1962-present

Mets: 26 complete-game 1-hitters

All other teams: 467 complete-game 1-hitters

Mets: 8,020 total games

All other teams: 201,898

So all other teams have produced 467 1-hitters in 201,898 games, or a rate of 0.23% of the time.

The Mets have produced 26 1-hitters in 8,020 games, or a rate of 0.32% of the time.

It may not sound like a lot, but it means that the Mets should have had 18 or 19 1-hitters in their existence instead of the 26 they’ve actually had. What does this tell us? What we already knew–they had been overdue for a no-hitter.

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MikeD

12 years ago

So if all the complete-game no-hitters thrown were added, what rate percentage would it be? Would is be near 0.32% of the Mets one-hitter rate? It might give us a better idea of how many no hitters the Mets should have had if not for randomness.

Voomo Zanzibar

12 years ago

I just want to take this opportunity to say that I truly love baseball. And that right now, the way that I most love baseball is by coming to this website. Because actually following it in real life is so maddening that I want to scream at the moon. Look, I can deal with losing. Regularly. My primary team (NYY) loses roughly 70 times a year (incl playoffs). That’s about once every three days during the season. On average, every 72 hours I get that awful sinking feeling that comes with seeing that your team lost. You all know the… Read more »

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John Autin

12 years ago

Reply to Voomo Zanzibar

An elegant, eloquent rant.

Ironically, this afternoon I was rereading Bill James’s essay in the Historical Abstract about optimal reliever usage — one of the central points being that the situation in which a run prevented has the most value is a tie game.

Which is utterly self-evident if you stand back and think about it.

John Nacca

12 years ago

Reply to Voomo Zanzibar

Welcome to 2012, where a manager NEVER EVER uses his best available pitcher in a tie game on the road. They ONLY save said pitcher for when said pitcher’s team takes the lead…then as we all know said pitcher gets put in to “try to save it”. Save rule is the most moronic thing in baseball. Case in point, the other day, Seattle wins 21-8, and Hisashi Iwakuma gets a save. The score when he entered the game was 17-5. Yet if the score was 3-2 in the 8th with 1 out and the bases loaded, the SET-UP guy will… Read more »

Hartvig

12 years ago

Reply to Voomo Zanzibar

While reading an image sprang into mind of an old Dilbert cartoon where in utter frustration a character actually coughs out his own skull…