With R.A. Dickey scheduled to start Sunday night on 5 days’ rest, let’s look at the “days of rest” splits of the most prominent recent knuckleballers (in starts only). I have included all splits that cover at least 10 starts, but my comparative statements are based only on those lines with at least 30 starts.
Even if you care nothing for this topic, I urge you to savor the line of Wilbur Wood on 2 days’ rest.
Tim Wakefield: Better with 4 days’ rest than with 5.
I | Split | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SB | CS | BB | SO | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Days,GS | 19 | 503 | 450 | 71 | 115 | 19 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 76 | 1.90 | .256 | .321 | .458 | .778 | |
4 Days,GS | 225 | 6241 | 5557 | 793 | 1383 | 298 | 26 | 177 | 202 | 55 | 518 | 963 | 1.86 | .249 | .320 | .407 | .728 | |
5 Days,GS | 140 | 3787 | 3368 | 496 | 889 | 208 | 10 | 116 | 123 | 41 | 340 | 554 | 1.63 | .264 | .337 | .435 | .772 | |
6+ Days,GS | 62 | 1655 | 1461 | 214 | 375 | 70 | 5 | 47 | 59 | 17 | 154 | 241 | 1.56 | .257 | .334 | .408 | .742 |
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Tom Candiotti: Slightly better with 5 days’ rest than with 4 (the difference is all in SLG).
I | Split | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SB | CS | BB | SO | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Days,GS | 17 | 468 | 414 | 55 | 97 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 41 | 63 | 1.54 | .234 | .306 | .365 | .671 | |
4 Days,GS | 216 | 5986 | 5414 | 676 | 1381 | 226 | 29 | 140 | 161 | 61 | 444 | 907 | 2.04 | .255 | .314 | .385 | .699 | |
5 Days,GS | 116 | 3194 | 2842 | 351 | 714 | 117 | 11 | 60 | 78 | 25 | 246 | 488 | 1.98 | .251 | .313 | .363 | .677 | |
6+ Days,GS | 55 | 1457 | 1307 | 165 | 358 | 66 | 6 | 33 | 37 | 10 | 118 | 196 | 1.66 | .274 | .338 | .409 | .747 |
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Charlie Hough: Best with 3 days’ rest; better with 4 than with 5.
I | Split | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SB | CS | BB | SO | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Days,GS | 60 | 1838 | 1616 | 195 | 366 | 73 | 8 | 40 | 48 | 20 | 174 | 289 | 1.66 | .226 | .309 | .356 | .665 | |
4 Days,GS | 236 | 6827 | 5996 | 771 | 1415 | 263 | 31 | 170 | 156 | 78 | 664 | 971 | 1.46 | .236 | .316 | .375 | .691 | |
5 Days,GS | 96 | 2747 | 2426 | 350 | 604 | 92 | 20 | 77 | 70 | 26 | 258 | 373 | 1.45 | .249 | .325 | .399 | .724 | |
6+ Days,GS | 44 | 1214 | 1063 | 129 | 247 | 31 | 8 | 30 | 16 | 13 | 121 | 153 | 1.26 | .232 | .317 | .361 | .678 |
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Phil Niekro: An odd pattern — better with 3 or 5 days’ rest than with 4; worst with 6+.
I | Split | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SB | CS | BB | SO | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Days,GS | 255 | 7995 | 7225 | 788 | 1752 | 259 | 46 | 174 | 165 | 81 | 599 | 1216 | 2.03 | .242 | .303 | .363 | .666 | |
4 Days,GS | 270 | 8006 | 7204 | 838 | 1801 | 246 | 42 | 174 | 149 | 92 | 639 | 1194 | 1.87 | .250 | .314 | .368 | .682 | |
5 Days,GS | 93 | 2767 | 2499 | 270 | 600 | 86 | 13 | 57 | 48 | 24 | 226 | 391 | 1.73 | .240 | .304 | .353 | .657 | |
6+ Days,GS | 58 | 1599 | 1427 | 193 | 386 | 78 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 10 | 153 | 205 | 1.34 | .270 | .342 | .421 | .763 |
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Joe Niekro: Better with 4 days’ rest than with 5; not good with either 3 or 6.
I | Split | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SB | CS | BB | SO | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 Days,GS | 126 | 3215 | 2875 | 414 | 791 | 113 | 16 | 73 | 80 | 34 | 277 | 341 | 1.23 | .275 | .338 | .402 | .740 | |
4 Days,GS | 233 | 6599 | 5953 | 629 | 1442 | 207 | 34 | 98 | 199 | 61 | 534 | 787 | 1.47 | .242 | .306 | .338 | .644 | |
5 Days,GS | 72 | 2012 | 1820 | 206 | 459 | 62 | 13 | 42 | 60 | 10 | 152 | 228 | 1.50 | .252 | .310 | .370 | .680 | |
6+ Days,GS | 52 | 1308 | 1157 | 192 | 341 | 59 | 10 | 32 | 43 | 6 | 121 | 141 | 1.17 | .295 | .362 | .446 | .808 |
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Wilbur Wood: Hee-hee-hee! Oh, sorry … Best with 2 days’ rest; better with 3 than with 4, but long rest also suited him.
I | Split | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | SB | CS | BB | SO | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 Days,GS | 71 | 2262 | 2088 | 199 | 490 | 67 | 16 | 36 | 51 | 22 | 125 | 333 | 2.66 | .235 | .281 | .334 | .615 | |
3 Days,GS | 153 | 4536 | 4170 | 496 | 1132 | 173 | 20 | 90 | 82 | 48 | 270 | 535 | 1.98 | .271 | .317 | .387 | .704 | |
4 Days,GS | 37 | 1011 | 903 | 135 | 253 | 39 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 16 | 77 | 106 | 1.38 | .280 | .341 | .430 | .770 | |
5 Days,GS | 10 | 285 | 255 | 28 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 38 | 1.73 | .216 | .276 | .345 | .621 | |
6+ Days,GS | 22 | 632 | 561 | 52 | 132 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 69 | 1.30 | .235 | .307 | .324 | .631 |
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R.A. Dickey (2010-12 only): No significant difference, but better SO/BB with 4 days’ rest.
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I don’t think there’s enough here to draw strong conclusions, and of course Dickey’s own tendencies would have the most predictive value for him. But I think there is some evidence that a knuckleballer is better off pitching with the least rest that he can regularly accommodate.