Recently, John Autin coined the term “disaster start” to denote starts where a pitcher allows more runs than innings pitched. So far this year, there have been 119 such starts, or about 3 a day. In 2011, there were 54 games where both starters were a disaster.
After the break, I’ll take a closer look at disaster starts and the pitchers most prone to them.
If I recall correctly, John came up with the “disaster start” idea in connection with his post about Philip Humber. Humber has had some pretty mixed results this year – everything from perfection to the furthest thing from it. But, Humber isn’t the only guy. All of the pitchers on the next list are currently on pace for 10 or more disaster starts in 2012, something which hasn’t happened since Jeff Weaver, Edwin Jackson, and Kyle Davies in 2007.
Rk | Player | Year | #Matching | W | L | GS | CG | SHO | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mike Minor | 2012 | 3 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 11.57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16.1 | 24 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 2.14 |
2 | Francisco Liriano | 2012 | 3 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 11.91 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11.1 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 2.74 |
3 | Phil Hughes | 2012 | 3 | Ind. Games | 1 | 2 | .333 | 9.53 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11.1 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2.03 |
4 | Luke Hochevar | 2012 | 3 | Ind. Games | 0 | 3 | .000 | 20.03 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10.1 | 28 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3.19 |
5 | Chris Schwinden | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 1 | .000 | 11.25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2.00 |
6 | Jonathan Sanchez | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 1 | .000 | 17.47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3.35 |
7 | Tyson Ross | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 19.64 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3.14 |
8 | Clayton Richard | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 1 | .000 | 9.53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11.1 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 1.94 |
9 | Hector Noesi | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 27.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4.1 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3.92 |
10 | Juan Nicasio | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 1 | .000 | 14.09 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 2.74 |
11 | Guillermo Moscoso | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 1 | .000 | 11.57 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9.1 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2.14 |
12 | Luis Mendoza | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 1 | .000 | 11.05 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3.27 |
13 | Brian Matusz | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 9.90 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10.0 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 2.40 |
14 | Paul Maholm | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 13.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1.88 |
15 | Hiroki Kuroda | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10.0 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2.20 |
16 | Josh Johnson | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 1 | .000 | 17.05 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3.32 |
17 | Tommy Hunter | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 1 | .000 | 11.70 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10.0 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2.20 |
18 | Philip Humber | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 20.86 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3.00 |
19 | Liam Hendriks | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 18.47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3.16 |
20 | Matt Harrison | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 15.12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.1 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3.00 |
21 | Freddy Garcia | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 1 | .000 | 29.70 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3.1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4.20 |
22 | Yovani Gallardo | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 2 | .000 | 22.24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3.88 |
23 | Josh Collmenter | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 0 | 12.86 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2.00 | |
24 | Clay Buchholz | 2012 | 2 | Ind. Games | 0 | 0 | 14.09 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 2.74 |
So, which pitchers have had the most disaster starts in a season? I took a look and found 190 seasons in the game-searchable era with 10 or more disaster starts. Here are the top 25 from that list (note that stats shown are for the disaster starts, NOT for the entire season).
Rk | Player | Year | #Matching | W | L | GS | CG | SHO | SV | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Pat Caraway | 1931 | 16 | Ind. Games | 0 | 16 | .000 | 18.44 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 41.0 | 98 | 84 | 6 | 41 | 8 | 3.39 |
2 | Sam Gray | 1931 | 14 | Ind. Games | 0 | 12 | .000 | 11.84 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57.0 | 113 | 75 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 2.47 |
3 | Early Wynn | 1948 | 13 | Ind. Games | 0 | 10 | .000 | 13.72 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41.1 | 91 | 63 | 10 | 27 | 9 | 2.85 |
4 | Claude Willoughby | 1930 | 13 | Ind. Games | 0 | 12 | .000 | 15.20 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 45.0 | 107 | 76 | 4 | 35 | 12 | 3.16 |
5 | Les Sweetland | 1930 | 13 | Ind. Games | 1 | 8 | .111 | 13.31 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 48.0 | 110 | 71 | 15 | 27 | 9 | 2.85 |
6 | Eric Milton | 2005 | 13 | Ind. Games | 0 | 8 | .000 | 13.84 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53.1 | 113 | 82 | 20 | 21 | 32 | 2.51 |
7 | Jack Knott | 1936 | 13 | Ind. Games | 1 | 10 | .091 | 12.02 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 60.2 | 115 | 81 | 6 | 39 | 18 | 2.54 |
8 | Jay Hook | 1962 | 13 | Ind. Games | 0 | 8 | .000 | 14.95 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37.1 | 78 | 62 | 15 | 20 | 28 | 2.63 |
9 | Bump Hadley | 1932 | 13 | Ind. Games | 1 | 10 | .091 | 14.47 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51.0 | 90 | 82 | 10 | 71 | 26 | 3.16 |
10 | Tony Cloninger | 1969 | 13 | Ind. Games | 1 | 10 | .091 | 13.62 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37.0 | 70 | 56 | 13 | 33 | 20 | 2.78 |
11 | Johnny Babich | 1935 | 13 | Ind. Games | 0 | 9 | .000 | 14.28 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 34.2 | 71 | 55 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 2.48 |
12 | Pedro Astacio | 1998 | 13 | Ind. Games | 1 | 9 | .100 | 11.47 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62.0 | 101 | 79 | 18 | 32 | 53 | 2.15 |
13 | Mike Smithson | 1986 | 12 | Ind. Games | 1 | 8 | .111 | 12.34 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35.0 | 81 | 48 | 11 | 18 | 17 | 2.83 |
14 | George Pipgras | 1930 | 12 | Ind. Games | 1 | 8 | .111 | 10.72 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 47.0 | 85 | 56 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 2.36 |
15 | Darren Oliver | 2001 | 12 | Ind. Games | 1 | 7 | .125 | 11.49 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49.1 | 93 | 63 | 5 | 28 | 30 | 2.45 |
16 | Jack Kramer | 1939 | 12 | Ind. Games | 0 | 9 | .000 | 15.98 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32.2 | 69 | 58 | 4 | 44 | 9 | 3.46 |
17 | Clay Kirby | 1973 | 12 | Ind. Games | 0 | 11 | .000 | 11.67 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39.1 | 79 | 51 | 12 | 24 | 23 | 2.62 |
18 | Darryl Kile | 1999 | 12 | Ind. Games | 0 | 7 | .000 | 13.32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51.1 | 97 | 76 | 18 | 31 | 35 | 2.49 |
19 | Si Johnson | 1934 | 12 | Ind. Games | 0 | 9 | .000 | 14.75 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32.1 | 73 | 53 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 2.72 |
20 | Phil Huffman | 1979 | 12 | Ind. Games | 0 | 10 | .000 | 13.19 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43.0 | 87 | 63 | 11 | 19 | 14 | 2.47 |
21 | Chief Hogsett | 1937 | 12 | Ind. Games | 0 | 11 | .000 | 14.44 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43.0 | 103 | 69 | 11 | 31 | 16 | 3.12 |
22 | Sammy Ellis | 1966 | 12 | Ind. Games | 0 | 9 | .000 | 15.75 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36.0 | 75 | 63 | 16 | 23 | 28 | 2.72 |
23 | Richard Dotson | 1986 | 12 | Ind. Games | 0 | 11 | .000 | 14.24 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42.1 | 85 | 67 | 11 | 24 | 22 | 2.57 |
24 | Brian Bohanon | 1999 | 12 | Ind. Games | 3 | 5 | .375 | 12.82 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53.1 | 107 | 76 | 18 | 30 | 32 | 2.57 |
25 | Jim Bibby | 1974 | 12 | Ind. Games | 1 | 11 | .083 | 12.53 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51.0 | 83 | 71 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 2.25 |
So, there’s a HOFer 3rd on the list, and in the prime of his career. And, Brian Bohanon (#24), the poster boy for the marvels of run support, with a 3-5 record in 12 disaster starts.
Interestingly, 3 other HOF pitchers (Steve Carlton, Phil Niekro and Bert Blyleven) also had seasons with 10 or more disaster starts although, unlike Wynn, that season came late in each of their careers when all were past their prime.
Bobby Witt leads all pitchers with 3 seasons of 10+ diasaster starts. Steve Blass, Max Butcher, Wes Ferrell, Lerrin LaGrow, Dave Roberts, Sammy Ellis, Early Wynn, George Pipgras and Vern Kennedy each have two such seasons.
In case you were wondering, complete game victories have been recorded in disaster starts. Here are those games.
Rk | Player | Date | Tm | Opp | Rslt | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | GSc | BF |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ned Garver | 1951-05-13 (1) | SLB | DET | W 13-10 | 9.0 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 40 |
2 | Ralph Branca | 1949-06-25 | BRO | PIT | W 17-10 | 9.0 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Dutch Leonard | 1940-05-19 | WSH | CHW | W 12-10 | 9.0 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 48 |
4 | Bob Harris | 1938-10-02 (2) | DET | CLE | W 10-8 | 7.0 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 36 |
5 | Thornton Lee | 1938-09-28 | CHW | CLE | W 14-11 | 9.0 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 49 |
6 | Wes Ferrell | 1937-07-25 (1) | WSH | SLB | W 16-10 | 9.0 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 45 |
7 | Peaches Davis | 1937-05-09 | CIN | PHI | W 21-10 | 9.0 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 46 |
8 | Oral Hildebrand | 1937-04-21 | SLB | CHW | W 15-10 | 9.0 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Jack Knott | 1936-09-02 | SLB | PHA | W 13-11 | 9.0 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 43 |
10 | Phil Collins | 1932-06-23 | PHI | CHC | W 16-10 | 9.0 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 40 |
11 | Lefty Stewart | 1932-06-22 | SLB | NYY | W 17-10 | 9.0 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 46 |
12 | Herb Pennock | 1930-06-15 | NYY | CLE | W 17-10 | 9.0 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 45 |
13 | Elam Vangilder | 1928-09-29 | DET | NYY | W 19-10 | 9.0 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 46 |
14 | Ted Blankenship | 1927-07-03 | CHW | SLB | W 14-10 | 9.0 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 44 |
15 | Bill Sherdel | 1926-07-13 | STL | BRO | W 12-10 | 9.0 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 42 |
16 | Ernie Wingard | 1925-05-31 | SLB | CHW | W 15-11 | 9.0 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 45 |
17 | Urban Shocker | 1924-07-03 | SLB | CLE | W 16-10 | 9.0 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 42 |
18 | Red Faber | 1919-09-15 | CHW | PHA | W 11-10 | 9.0 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 44 |
Finally, something the Browns excel in – they are the class of this list, going 6-2 in these games. Also note that only 4 of these 18 games were from the NL – the AL definitely had the lion’s share of the bashers in the 20s and 30s. Incidentally, the Ernie Wingard game (#16) has the distinction of being the lowest game score in a complete game victory.
But, now for the Jekyll and Hyde bit. Of the 190 seasons with 10+ disaster starts (DS), these are the ones that also featured at least 18 quality starts (QS).
Player | Year | QS | DS | Tm | G | GS | CG | SHO | W | L | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bobby Jones | 2001 | 18 | 10 | SDP | 33 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 19 | .296 | 195.0 | 250 | 137 | 111 | 38 | 113 | 5.12 | 78 | 37 |
Melido Perez | 1990 | 19 | 10 | CHW | 35 | 35 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | .481 | 197.0 | 177 | 111 | 101 | 86 | 161 | 4.61 | 83 | 14 |
Mike Witt | 1987 | 18 | 10 | CAL | 36 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 16 | 14 | .533 | 247.0 | 252 | 128 | 110 | 84 | 192 | 4.01 | 108 | 34 |
Ken Forsch | 1982 | 19 | 10 | CAL | 37 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 11 | .542 | 228.0 | 225 | 108 | 98 | 57 | 73 | 3.87 | 105 | 25 |
Geoff Zahn | 1980 | 19 | 10 | MIN | 38 | 35 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 18 | .438 | 232.2 | 273 | 138 | 114 | 66 | 96 | 4.41 | 99 | 17 |
Ray Burris | 1977 | 19 | 11 | CHC | 39 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 16 | .467 | 221.0 | 270 | 132 | 116 | 67 | 105 | 4.72 | 93 | 29 |
Rudy May | 1977 | 22 | 10 | BAL | 37 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 14 | .563 | 251.2 | 243 | 114 | 101 | 78 | 105 | 3.61 | 105 | 25 |
Dave Roberts | 1976 | 18 | 10 | DET | 36 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 17 | .485 | 252.0 | 254 | 122 | 112 | 63 | 79 | 4.00 | 93 | 16 |
Paul Splittorff | 1974 | 18 | 11 | KCR | 36 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 19 | .406 | 226.0 | 252 | 122 | 103 | 75 | 90 | 4.10 | 93 | 23 |
Lerrin LaGrow | 1974 | 18 | 10 | DET | 37 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 19 | .296 | 216.1 | 245 | 132 | 112 | 80 | 85 | 4.66 | 81 | 21 |
Alan Foster | 1970 | 19 | 10 | LAD | 33 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 13 | .435 | 198.2 | 200 | 104 | 94 | 81 | 83 | 4.26 | 90 | 22 |
Joe Niekro | 1970 | 18 | 10 | DET | 38 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | .480 | 213.0 | 221 | 107 | 96 | 72 | 101 | 4.06 | 93 | 28 |
Gerry Janeski | 1970 | 20 | 10 | CHW | 35 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | .370 | 205.2 | 247 | 125 | 109 | 63 | 79 | 4.77 | 80 | 22 |
Sammy Ellis | 1965 | 22 | 11 | CIN | 44 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 22 | 10 | .688 | 263.2 | 222 | 119 | 111 | 104 | 183 | 3.79 | 99 | 22 |
Larry Jackson | 1965 | 25 | 10 | CHC | 39 | 39 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 21 | .400 | 257.1 | 268 | 126 | 110 | 57 | 131 | 3.85 | 96 | 28 |
Paul Foytack | 1959 | 18 | 10 | DET | 39 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 14 | .500 | 240.1 | 239 | 137 | 124 | 64 | 110 | 4.64 | 87 | 34 |
Bob Purkey | 1959 | 18 | 10 | CIN | 38 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 18 | .419 | 218.0 | 241 | 118 | 103 | 43 | 78 | 4.25 | 96 | 25 |
Larry Jackson leads this group with 35 out of 39 (89.7%) “Jekyll and Hyde” starts, those that are either quality or a disaster. Jackson is followed closely by Alan Foster (87.9%) and Rudy May (86.5%). Possibly the most impressive thing about this list is that 7 of the 17 pitchers have an ERA+ over 95, not easy to do with 10 or more disaster starts.
Any other J&H pitchers you recall – either on their game or way off it, but seldom in between?