It’s not just Albert … Through Friday 5/4, one in four qualified first basemen (6 of 24) has an OPS+ below 60 and a BA of .195 or below, with an average of 2 HRs and 7 RBI.
For a base of comparison, here are the past 10 years’ combined OPS+ numbers for qualified first basemen:
- Average OPS+: 126
- Median: 125
- Worst: 81
- OPS+ below 100: 12% (25 of 213)
Since there was an average of 21 qualified 1Bs per year, let’s look at the top 21 qualifiers so far this year. There are 24 qualifiers right now, but presumably some of them will continue to hit so poorly that they will lose playing time and wind up not qualifying; so for purposes of this comparison, it’s farewell, Albert, Gaby & Ike.
This year, through Friday 5/4, the top 21 qualified 1Bs had these OPS+ numbers:
- Average: 113
- Median: 110
- Worst: 46; four are below 80
- OPS+ below 100: 38%
And those numbers are boosted by the 236 OPS+ of unheralded Bryan LaHair, a 29-year-old getting his first full-time play, who began the year with a career OPS+ of 98+. LaHair is hitting .380 despite striking out in 34% of his PAs, a rate that would lead to a new strikeout record if he got 655 PAs. I think it’s safe to say that no one has ever sustained a .526 BAbip over a full season.
Moving from the individual to the group view, here are the collective OPS+ produced at first base in each year since 2002:
- 2002 — 121
- 2003 — 119
- 2004 — 116
- 2005 — 119
- 2006 — 121
- 2007 — 116
- 2008 — 118
- 2009 — 125
- 2010 — 120
- 2011 — 121
- 2012 — 110
If these numbers were to hold up for the season, the group OPS+ would be 5 points below the lowest mark of the past 20 years,* the median would be easily the lowest since at least 1980,* and the percentage of qualifiers with OPS+ below 100 would be the highest since 1955.
* These points were as far back as I checked the annual figures before growing weary.
As a group, 2012 first basemen have a slash line of .255/.329/.420 (compared to .271/.345/.452 last year), and are averaging 20 HRs, 79 RBI and 70 Runs per 162 games (last year’s marks were 24 HRs, 91 RBI and 80 Runs).
Finally, this table shows the percentage of qualified 1Bs with an OPS+ below 100 for each year since 1955, sorted by the highest percentage. As before, the 2012 qualifiers are limited to the top 21.
[table id=47 /]